|

ECB's Schnabel 'bombshell' remarks go unnoticed by Euro as it 'tees' up rate hold possibility

Senior ECB official Isabel Schnabel delivered a bit of a bombshell during her remarks on Monday, as she not only said that Eurozone growth risks were to the upside, but she explicitly noted that she was comfortable with market bets favouring a hike, rather than a cut, as the next move in rates.

The euro barely batted an eyelid to her remarks, as her comments not only triggered a rethink in the rate path in the Euro Area, but in the rest of the developed world. We will add two caveats to Schnabel’s remarks.

Firstly, she is widely considered to be one of, if not the, most hawkish member on the Governing Council, so her views do not necessarily represent the majority of the committee.

Secondly, she also noted that any moves higher in rates would not happen for some time. At any rate, her communications perhaps tees up the possibility of a “hawkish hold” from the ECB when it next meets a week on Thursday.

Author

Matthew Ryan, CFA

Matthew is Global Head of Market Strategy at FX specialist Ebury, where he has been part of the strategy team since 2014. He provides fundamental FX analysis for a wide range of G10 and emerging market currencies.

More from Matthew Ryan, CFA
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD pops to yearly highs near 1.1770

EUR/USD rapidly reverses course and hits fresh YTD tops near 1.1780 at the end of the week. The pair’s U-turn comes on the back of the intense sell-off in the Greenback amid the generalised risk-on context.

GBP/USD climbs to four-month tops near 1.3600

GBP/USD is building on its solid weekly advance and is pushing toward the 1.3600 hurdle on Friday, or new four-month peaks. Cable’s strong move higher comes as the Greenback intensifies its decline, while auspicious results on the UK calendar also collaborate with the uptrend.

Gold picks up pace, approaches $5,000

Gold prices keep their uptrend well in place and gear up for an imminent hit to the key $5,000 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The yellow metal’s sharp advance gathers pace amid the increasing weakness in the US Dollar and mixed US Treasury yields across the curve.

Swiss bank UBS Group mulls Bitcoin and Ethereum offering for select private clients

UBS Group AG plans to offer crypto investment services to select private clients. The offering will allow clients of its private bank in Switzerland to buy and sell Bitcoin and Ethereum.

Week ahead – Fed and BoC meet amid geopolitical upheaval and Trump’s Fed pick

Fed to likely go on pause after three straight cuts. BoC is also expected to stand pat. But will Trump steal the limelight by revealing his Fed chair nomination?

Bitcoin slips below $90,000 as Trump's tariffs swing, ETF outflows pressure price

Bitcoin price struggles below $90,000 on Friday, correcting nearly 5% so far this week. Trump’s Davos speech on Wednesday, backing away from imposing further tariffs on the EU, triggered market volatility and risk-on mood.