ECB review – A no-hike decision
The ECB kept policy rates unchanged at the October meeting, with the deposit rate at 2.50%, in line with consensus and market pricing. We expect a 25bp hike to 2.75% in December, which Lagarde clearly signalled during the press conference. However, the press release had a greater dovish focus on the lack of second-round effects and stable core inflation, so we continue to see 2.75% as the terminal rate. Lagarde announced she would step down on 7 February 2027, ending her term ahead of time.
Author

Danske Research Team
Danske Bank A/S
Research is part of Danske Bank Markets and operate as Danske Bank's research department. The department monitors financial markets and economic trends of relevance to Danske Bank Markets and its clients.


















