|

Dollar Index (DXY) – Bearish Minor 5 – Trend Continuation

Dollar Index (DXY) bounced off the Reversal Area pointed out in the previous Dollar-Index-DXY – Market Crash Road Map – Full Elliott Wave Cycle” and commenced the Corrective Pattern for Minor 4 (red).

Reversal also posted on previously in "USD Reversal - Metals Correction - FX Majors Weaker"

It seems like the Dollar Index (DXY) is approaching what is called the “Golden Section” in Elliott Wave Analysis which could act as a Point of Interest or Vibration Level, drawing the Price Action towards it as a magnet. Golden Section usually acts as Trend Continuation Levels, in the Dollar’s case a Bearish Trend Continuation for Minor 5 (red).

If the above would be correct, then the Dollar Index (DXY) could resume the Dominant Trend and finalize Minor 5 (red) and with it the entire Intermediate (C) leg (turquoise), thus completing the Cycle in Primary Wave A (blue).

Daily Chart (picture):

US

2H Chart (picture):

US

Dollar Index (DXY) – Corrective Minor 4 – Wave Analysis:

  • Minute A (blue) commenced on the up-side showing a 3 Swing Sequence in its Minuette ABC Sub-Waves (orange).
    Minuette (a) (orange) shows a typical 5 Swings Motive Structure.
    Minuette (b) (orange) shows a deep pull-back in a Zig-Zag Pattern.
    Minuette (c) (orange) shows an Extension, which took a form of an Wedge, making the entire Minute A (blue) develop as a Leading Diagonal for the overall Corrective Structure.

  • Minute B (blue) retraced as a Triple Three Pattern, showing a Complex Structure in its Minuette WXYXZ Sub-Waves (purple).

  • Minute C (blue) is possibly taking form of an Expanding Ending Diagonal, with 2 legs awaiting to finalize, which are Minuettes (iv) & (v) (black).
    A Bearish Divergence would be awaited at the end of Minuette (v) (black).

Charts & Structures (preview):

EUR/USD:

EURUSD

GOLD (XAU/USD):

Gold

SILVER (XAG/USD):

Silver

OIL (WTI):

Oil

USD/CHF:

USDCHF

USD/JPY:

USDJPY

DAX30:

DAX

S&P500:

S&P500

DOW30:


DOW30

Many pips ahead!

Author

Richard Tataru

Richard Tataru

XGlobal Markets

Richard is a market analyst and holds the role of Senior Account Manager at XGLOBAL Markets. He is passionate about technical analysis and has been exploring the charts for years.

More from Richard Tataru
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds firm near 1.1850 amid USD weakness

EUR/USD remains strongly bid around 1.1850 in European trading on Monday. The USD/JPY slide-led broad US Dollar weakness helps the pair build on Friday's recovery ahead of the Eurozone Sentix Investor Confidence data for February. 

GBP/USD hovers near 1.3600 as UK government crisis weighs on Pound Sterling

GBP/USD moves sideways after registering modest gains in the previous session, trading around 1.3610 during the European hours on Monday. The pair could come under pressure as the Pound Sterling may weaken amid a fresh government crisis in the United Kingdom.

Gold remains supported by China's buying and USD weakness as traders eye US data

Gold struggles to capitalize on its intraday move up and remains below the $5,100 mark heading into the European session amid mixed cues. Data released over the weekend showed that the People's Bank of China extended its buying spree for a 15th month in January. Moreover, dovish US Fed expectations and concerns about the central bank's independence drag the US Dollar lower for the second straight day, providing an additional boost to the non-yielding yellow metal.

Cardano steadies as whale selling caps recovery

Cardano (ADA) steadies at $0.27 at the time of writing on Monday after slipping more than 5% in the previous week. On-chain data indicate a bearish trend, with certain whales offloading ADA. However, the technical outlook suggests bearish momentum is weakening, raising the possibility of a short-term relief rebound if buying interest picks up.

Japanese PM Takaichi nabs unprecedented victory – US data eyed this week

I do not think I would be exaggerating to say that Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s snap general election gamble paid off over the weekend – and then some. This secured the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) an unprecedented mandate just three months into her tenure.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple consolidate after massive sell-off

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple prices consolidated on Monday after correcting by nearly 9%, 8%, and 10% in the previous week, respectively. BTC is hovering around $70,000, while ETH and XRP are facing rejection at key levels. Traders should be cautious: despite recent stabilization, upside recovery for these top three cryptocurrencies is capped as the broader trend remains bearish.