DAX steady as German, Eurozone services PMIs beat estimates

Kenny Fisher MarketPulse

The DAX index is showing little movement in the Wednesday session. Currently, the DAX is at 12,339, down 0.08% on the day. In economic news, German Services PMI improved to 54.5, beating the estimate of 53.9. Eurozone Services PMI rose to 55.2, above the forecast of 55.0 points. On Thursday, Germany releases Factory Orders and the eurozone releases Retail PMI.

Chancellor Angela Merkel is working overtime to save her coalition, and the latest crisis she is facing is over migration policy. Interior Minister Horst Seehofer had threatened to resign over the migration agreement that EU leaders reached in Brussels last week, but has decided to remain in the government. Merkel’s proposal involves setting up special transit centers at the border with Austria and having refugees return to EU countries were they had first registered, but Austria has expressed concern with the plan. The EU remains split on migration policy, and if Germany’s political crisis continues, European equity markets could fall.

The DAX is coming off another rough week, in which it declined 1.5 percent. Recent trade tensions are threatening to hamper the eurozone export sector, which in turn could weigh on manufacturing output. Investors are keeping a close eye on German and eurozone manufacturing PMIs, which are bellwethers of the strength of the manufacturing sector. In June, the German and eurozone readings pointed to expansion but also continued a downward trend. Both PMIs have now dropped for six straight months, raising concerns among investors about the strength of the eurozone economy. Germany, the locomotive of the eurozone, produced soft consumer numbers last week. Retail Sales plunged 2.1%, its steepest decline in 2018. As well, Preliminary CPI fell to 0.1%, down from 0.5% a month earlier.

The Yuan airbrake

Economic Calendar

3:15 Spanish Services PMI. Estimate 56.3. Actual 55.4
3:45 Italian Services PMI. Estimate 53.3. Actual 54.3
3:50 French Final Services PMI. Estimate 56.4. Actual 55.9
3:55 German Final Services PMI. Estimate 53.9. Actual 54.5
4:00 Eurozone Final Services PMI. Estimate 55.0. Actual 55.2
2:00 German Factory Orders. Estimate 1.1%
4:10 Eurozone Retail PMI
7:15 German Buba President Weidmann Speaks
8:15 US ADP Nonfarm Employment Change. Estimate 190K
8:30 US Unemployment Claims. Estimate 231K
10:00 US ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI. Estimate 58.3
14:00 US FOMC Meeting Minutes

Previous Close: 12,349 Open: 12,321 Low: 12,299 High: 12,351 Close: 12,339

Author

Kenny Fisher

MarketPulse

A highly experienced financial market analyst with a focus on fundamental analysis, Kenneth Fisher’s daily commentary covers a broad range of markets including forex, equities and commodities.

EUR/USD extends its optimism past 1.1900

EUR/USD retains a firm underlying bid, surpassing the 1.1900 mark as the NA session draws to a close on Monday. The pair’s persistent uptrend comes as the US Dollar remains on the defensive, with traders staying cautious ahead of upcoming US NFP prints and CPI data.

GBP/USD hits three-day peaks, targets 1.3700

GBP/USD is clocking decent gains at the start of the week, advancing to three-day highs near 1.3670 and building on Friday’s solid performance. The better tone in the British Pound comes on the back of the intense sekk-off in the Greenback and despite re-emerging signs of a fresh government crisis in the UK.

Gold pushes back above $5,000

The daily chart shows spot Gold in a parabolic uptrend that accelerated sharply from the $4,600 area in late January, printing a record high at $5,598.25 before a violent reversal erased nearly $1,000 in value during the final days of the month.

Litecoin eyes $50 as heavy losses weigh on investors

Following a strong downtrend across the crypto market over the past week, Litecoin holders are under immense pressure. The Bitcoin fork has trimmed about $1.81 billion from its market capitalization since the beginning of the year, sending it below the top 20 cryptos by market cap.

Japanese PM Takaichi nabs unprecedented victory – US data eyed this week

I do not think I would be exaggerating to say that Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s snap general election gamble paid off over the weekend – and then some. This secured the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) an unprecedented mandate just three months into her tenure.

Ripple exposed to volatility amid low retail interest, modest fund inflows

Ripple (XRP) is extending its intraday decline to around $1.40 at the time of writing on Monday amid growing pressure from the retail market and risk-off sentiment that continues to keep investors on the sidelines.