|

Could EUR/USD reach the 1.0685 level?

AUDUSD a little lower as expected to 6696 but unexpectedly reversed to close unchanged leaving a minor bullish candle in oversold conditions. Holding above 6745/35 signals further gains today targeting 6760 & first resistance at 6770/80. A high for the day is possible in the bear trend. Shorts need stops above 6800.

Chart

Failure to hold above 6730 risks a retest of 6700/6695. A break lower can target 6670/60.

NZDUSD made a low for the day 11 pips below 38.2% support at 6150/40 & the pair is recovering towards first resistance at 6190/6200. A high for the day possible here but shorts need stops above 6215. A break higher can target 6145/55.

Chart

Shorts at 6190/6200 can target 6150/40 for profit taking. Longs need stops below 6125. (Let's see if we establish a new range from 6150/40 up to 6190/6200). Be ready to sell a break below 6125 to target 6100/6090, probably as far as 6040/30 for profit taking on shorts.

CADJPY took a long time to finally reach my target & Fibonacci resistance at 100.55/65. A Doji yesterday suggests we will struggle here in overbought conditions. Shorts need stops above 100.80. A break higher sees 100.65/55 act as support to target 101.25/35.

Chart

Shorts at 100.55/65 can target 100.00/9990, perhaps as far as a buying opportunity at 9950/40. Longs need stops below 9920.

USDJPY longs at buying opportunity at 134.10/133.90 hit my target of 135.45/55 & 135.80/90 before reaching strong resistance at 136.65/85. What a great run for our longs!!

Shorts need stops above 137.10. A break higher is a buy signal for this week targeting 138.00/20.

Shorts at 136.65/85 can target 136.00, perhaps as far as first support at 135.50/30 for profit taking. Longs need stops below 135.15.

NZDJPY remains in a tight sideways range - only useful for scalpers. Resistance again at 8450/80. A break above 8510 therefore should be a buy signal.

Chart

Shorts at 8450/80 can target 8400/8390 & 8370/60, perhaps we can fall as far as 8310/8290 eventually.

EURUSD unexpectedly bounced from 1.0534 & beat strong resistance at 1.0575/85. I think today's resistance is at 1.0590/1.0610. Shorts need stops above 1.0630. A break higher can target 1.0650/60, perhaps as far as 1.0675/85.

Shorts at 1.0590/1.0610 can target 1.0580/75 & 1.0545/35. If we continue lower look for 1.0510/00, perhaps as far as strong support at 1.0470/50. Longs need stops below 1.0430.

USDCAD  beat 4 month trend line resistance at 1.3570/90 so we must obviously hold above here this week to maintain a buy signal targeting 1.3700.

Longs at 1.3590/70 stop below 1.3550. This was nasty yesterday because we spiked down to 1.3533 then immediately recovered. USDCAD remains difficult to read. We have been in a bull trend for 2 weeks but with deep pullbacks making it tough to hold a long position. 

Dollar Index higher last week as predicted on Monday. By Friday we hit my first target of for the 105.15 & should be headed for 105.80 this week, perhaps as far as 106.10/30.

First support at 1.0505/104.95 broke but we saw a low for the day at strong support at 104.75/60. However a break lower meets strong support at 104.30/20. Longs need stops below 104.00.

EURCAD I am going to wait to see if a head & shoulders forms.

A high for the week exactly at the 50 day moving average at 1.4440/50 helps this pattern to develop. A break below support at 1.4230/20 this week will be the sell signal targeting 1.4150 & 1.3980.

GBPUSD bounce from strong support at 1.1960/40 has reached 1.2068. I expect strong resistance at 1.2090/1.2110. Shorts need stops above 1.2130.

Shorts can target 1.2040/20, perhaps as far as strong support at 1.1960/40. Longs need stops below 1.1910. A break below 1.1910 is a sell signal for this week targeting 1.1865/55, perhaps as far as 1.1810/00.

Chart

Author

Jason Sen

Jason Sen

DayTradeIdeas.co.uk

More from Jason Sen
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD hits two-day highs near 1.1820

EUR/USD picks up pace and reaches two-day tops around 1.1820 at the end of the week. The pair’s move higher comes on the back of renewed weakness in the US Dollar amid growing talk that the Fed could deliver an interest rate cut as early as March. On the docket, the flash US Consumer Sentiment improves to 57.3 in February.

GBP/USD reclaims 1.3600 and above

GBP/USD reverses two straight days of losses, surpassing the key 1.3600 yardstick on Friday. Cable’s rebound comes as the Greenback slips away from two-week highs in response to some profit-taking mood and speculation of Fed rate cuts. In addition, hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill are also collaborating with the quid’s improvement.

Gold climbs further, focus is back to 45,000

Gold regains upside traction and surpasses the $4,900 mark per troy ounce at the end of the week, shifting its attention to the critical $5,000 region. The move reflects a shift in risk sentiment, driving flows back towards traditional safe haven assets and supporting the yellow metal.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid risk-off, $2.6 billion liquidation wave

Bitcoin edges up above $65,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as dust from the recent macro-triggered sell-off settles. The leading altcoin, Ethereum, hovers above $1,900, but resistance at $2,000 caps the upside. Meanwhile, Ripple has recorded the largest intraday jump among the three assets, up over 10% to $1.35.

Three scenarios for Japanese Yen ahead of snap election

The latest polls point to a dominant win for the ruling bloc at the upcoming Japanese snap election. The larger Sanae Takaichi’s mandate, the more investors fear faster implementation of tax cuts and spending plans. 

XRP rally extends as modest ETF inflows support recovery

Ripple is accelerating its recovery, trading above $1.36 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors adjust their positions following a turbulent week in the broader crypto market. The remittance token is up over 21% from its intraday low of $1.12.