|

Charting the course: US trade in 12 charts

Summary

Since taking office on Monday, President Trump has yet to impose new tariffs, though he has directed agencies to investigate current trade agreements. Tariffs remain very much in play. He has mentioned the administration may impose a 25% tariff on imports from Mexico and Canada and levy a 10% tariff on goods from China as soon as February, while also commenting that the European Union will see tariffs as well. If President Trump's first term is any guide, trade policy will remain a key item on the agenda over the next four years. With that in mind, we present a visual guide to the current state of U.S. international trade.

Lay of the land

  • The U.S. runs a merchandise, or goods, trade deficit and services trade surplus. The goods deficit (-$100 billion) is significantly larger than the services surplus (+$25 billion) resulting in an overall trade deficit in the neighborhood of $80 billion/month. Services trade is primed for growth ahead.

  • Trade balances vary. The United States runs the largest goods trade deficit with China, despite importing more from the European Union (EU) and Mexico. Canada rounds out the top four sources of U.S. imports, but we run a smaller goods trade deficit with that country than we do with some smaller Asian trading partners.

Download the Full Report!

Author

More from Wells Fargo Research Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).