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Chart of the day: 10yr Notes

The Most Important Chart Ahead of Tomorrow

Tomorrow we will have a lot of information and data given to the market. Everything from the QRA (quarterly refunding announcement) from the Treasury to know what the allocation (or mix) of supply will be for the market between bills/notes/bonds. Then we will have private jobs data from the ADP. Following that we will have the ECI (employment Cost Index), then a few hours later we will hear from the Fed Chair, Jerome Powell and the FOMC. 

In the meantime, the 10yr notes market looks poised to rally in a "bull flag pattern" setup which does suggest a continuation of note market strength and ultimately US Dollar weakness. However, a break of the 38% retracement at 110'09' would suggest otherwise and in that case we could see the US Dollar really take off to the upside as the bond market nullifies the pattern and looks to correct further below 109'00.

Author

Blake Morrow

Blake Morrow

Forex Analytix

Blake Morrow spent most of his professional career as the Chief Currency Strategist for Wizetrade group for 15 years, and then the Senior Currency Strategist for Ally Financial after the acquisition of Tradeking which owned the Wizetrade Group.

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