The pound has seen a day of volatility, with the pound ultimately rising despite lack of final deal. Meanwhile, US-China relations have been dented by a US bill aimed at supporting the push to retain Hong Kong independence.

  • Market indecision reigns amid uncertainty over Brexit and US-China talks
  • Immediate deal looking unlikely, yet GBP rise highlights improved outlook for a deal
  • US-China relations sour as House passes Hong Kong bill

Markets have been largely devoid of any directional bias over the course of today’s session, with traders unable to truly say with confidence whether we are on the cusp of a Brexit or US-China breakthrough. Today’s newswires have been dominated by contradictory rumours on the direction of Brexit talks, with the clock running out ahead of the European Council summit. Brexit talks have certainly ramped up in anticipation of this summit, yet despite apparent progress it seems that time has run out for a deal to be agreed and drawn up ahead of tomorrows summit. However, despite the lack of clarity on exactly how Johnson plans to get a deal across the line, there is a growing confidence that  Johnson wants a deal despite previous fears that a no-deal Brexit is his primary aim. In a week that has seen GBPUSD hit the highest level in five-months, it is evident that traders are more confident than ever that a no-deal Brexit is going to be avoided.

Sentiment around US-China trade talks have taken a hit today, as the Chinese responded with anger over the passage of a House of Representatives’ bill which could lead to sanctions on individuals who undermine Hong Kong’s autonomy. Coming at a particularly sensitive time for US-China relations, the perceived interference in Chinese affairs does little to raise hopes of a trade deal between the two sides.

This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients.

Analysis feed

Latest Forex Analysis

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD struggling to hold above 1.1000

The EUR/USD pair is trading at one-month lows just above the 1.1000 level, undermined by softer-than-expected EU data and persistent uncertainty surrounding the US-China trade relationship.

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD stuck around 1.2850

The Pound traded lifeless this Tuesday, confined to familiar levels against most rival despite mixed employment data and mounting tensions heading into December’s election.

GBP/USD News

USD/JPY hits fresh lows under 109.00 as Wall Street erases gains

The USD/JPY pair printed fresh lows during the American session as equity prices moved off highs in Wall Street.

USD/JPY News

US Dollar Index keeps gains around 98.30 ahead of Trump’s speech

The greenback keeps the bid tone unchanged on Tuesday and is now trading around 98.30 when measured by the US Dollar Index (DXY).

US Dollar Index News

RBNZ Rate Decision Preview: The Federal Reserve pause may be infectious

The RBNZ is predicted to reduce the official cash rate by 25 basis points to 0.75%. If completed it would be the third cut this year and bring the reductions to 1.0% since the bank began in May.

Read more

Forex Majors

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures