24 Hour: Neutral | Medium Term: Neutral – Possibly look to buy dips. |
Having seen a low of 0.7877 in early European trade, the Aud has shot up to a high of 0.8013 following the FOMC meeting, closing at 0.8000.
The short term momentum indicators suggest that a cautious stance is warranted at these levels although the longer term charts still hint that buying dips remains the medium term plan. The weekly charts suggest that at some stage we are in for a stronger test of the topside although the 200 WMA is currently providing strong resistance. A monthly close (Monday) above the 100 MMA (0.7975) would reinforce that view, and once above 0.8015 there is little to stop the Aud from heading to 0.8160.
On the downside, the 100 MMA may act as a near term magnate, below which there is minor support 0.7940 and again at 0.7900, ahead of the minor double bottom at 0.7875.
Preferred Strategy: Looking to buy dips towards 0.7900/50 seems to be the plan, with a SL placed below 0.7875.
Economic data highlights will include:
Import Export Index (Q2)
All content on this website, www.fxcharts.com.au (FX Charts PL) is a personal view only and offers absolutely no guarantee as to the correctness or otherwise of that opinion. The content here is of a “general nature” only and does not constitute personal or investment advice. The FX Charts website is not an inducement to trade Foreign Exchange (FX). No liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss or damage that may result, directly or indirectly, from any , comment, opinion, information or omission, whether negligent or otherwise, within the FX Charts Website. The information and any opinion or outlook expressed in this commentary may be based on assumptions or market conditions and may be liable change at any time, without notice.
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD stays below 1.0800 after upbeat US data
EUR/USD stays under bearish pressure and trades slightly below 1.0800 in the American session on Thursday. The data from the US showed that the real GDP growth for the fourth quarter got revised higher to 3.4% from 3.2%, supporting the USD and weighing on the pair.
GBP/USD stays in daily range above 1.2600
GBP/USD fluctuates in a narrow channel above 1.2600 on Thursday. The better-than-expected Initial Jobless Claims data from the US and the upward revision to the Q4 GDP growth helps the USD stay resilient against its rivals and limits the pair's upside.
Gold clings to strong daily gains above $2,200
Gold retreats from daily highs but holds comfortably above $2,200 in the American session on Friday. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield stays above 4.2% after upbeat US data and makes it difficult for XAU/USD to preserve its bullish momentum.
XRP price falls to $0.60 support as Ripple ruling doesn’t help Coinbase lawsuit against SEC
XRP programmatic sales ruling by Judge Torres was completely rejected by another US Court that ruled in favor of the SEC in a lawsuit against Coinbase.
Portfolio rebalancing and reflation trades emerge into Q2
Yesterday’s price action pointed at a possible end-of-quarter portfolio rebalancing as the session saw the laggards of the quarter like Apple and Tesla gain, and the stars like Microsoft and Nvidia retreat.