|

Asian stocks feeding off strong start to US earnings season

European equities look set to attempt to follow the trend from Asian markets on Monday morning by starting the week off in the green, as risk sentiment increases following a strong start to the latest US earnings season. JPMorgan and Wells Fargo setthe tone late last week with strong earnings reports, providing confidence to equity traders that corporate America is performing well amid robust economic conditions in the United States. Further encouraging readings during the remainder of the earnings season should feed into the broader risk sentiment narrative, and help improve investor confidence, as long as the releases do not reveal any negative surprises.

China showing further signs of stabilizing

Adding to the risk appetite seen in early trade this week are China’s March external trade figures, which were released at the end of last week and helped ease some of the concern over a decline in the nation’s economic momentum. China’s exports for the month surprised to the upside, suggesting that global demand for trade remains intact and that the Chinese economy will find solid footing as a result.

China’s Q1 GDP, as well as March’s industrial production and retail sales data, are all due for release on Wednesday.These will be treated as tier-one economic releases from China and the data should offer further indication as to how the world’s second largest economy is holding up. Note that the IMF recently revised China’s forecasted growth higher, in contrast to the lower projections for global growth.

Should the “China-stabilizing” narrative gather momentum, complemented by evidence of stimulus measures feeding into China’s economy in the months ahead, this should offer room for more gains in emerging market assets over the near-term.

Dollar steadies as markets await latest US data

The United States is also slated to announce its March industrial production and retail sales data this week, along with the latest Markit Purchasing Managers Index (PMI). Markets are expecting the US economy to showcase its resilience, especially for retail sales, which are hoping to rebound following February’s slump.

However, any data announcement that undershoots market expectations will be seen as a threat that will weigh negatively on the Dollar Index.

Given the Federal Reserve’s already dovish tone, further hints of a steeper slowdown in the US economy could hasten speculation of a Fed rate cutand may give Dollar bears reason to break the Greenback’s recent resilience around the 97 mark.

Author

Lukman Otunuga

Lukman Otunuga

ForexTime (FXTM)

Lukman Otunuga has been a Research Analyst at FXTM since 2015. A keen follower of macroeconomic events, with a strong professional and academic background in finance, Lukman is well versed in fundamental and technical analysis.

More from Lukman Otunuga
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD remains on the back foot below 1.1850

EUR/USD is back on the back foot on Wednesday, slipping below the 1.1850 area as the US Dollar picks up some modest traction. The move comes as traders position ahead of a busy run of US data and the release of the FOMC Minutes. Adding to the pullback are reports that the ECB’s Lagarde may step down before completing her term.

GBP/USD flirts with daily highs near 1.3580

GBP/USD manages to set aside two consecutive daily declines and trades with slight gains in the 1.3580 zone on Wednesday. Cable’s uptick comes despite acceptable gains in the Greenback and easing UK inflation figures, which seem to have reinforced the case for a BoE rate cut in March.

Gold retains bullish bias amid Fed rate cut bets, ahead of Fed Minutes

Gold sticks to modest intraday gains through the early European session, reversing a major part of the previous day's heavy losses of more than 2%, to the $4,843-4,842 region or a nearly two-week low. That said, the fundamental backdrop warrants caution for bulls ahead of the FOMC Minutes, which will look for more cues about the US Federal Reserve's rate-cut path. 

Pi Network rally defies market pressure ahead of its first anniversary

Pi Network is trading above $0.1900 at press time on Wednesday, extending the weekly gains by nearly 8% so far. The steady recovery is supported by a short-term pause in mainnet migration, which reduces pressure on the PI token supply for Centralized Exchanges. The technical outlook focuses on the $0.1919 resistance as bullish momentum increases.

Mixed UK inflation data no gamechanger for the Bank of England

Food inflation plunged in January, but service sector price pressure is proving stickier. We continue to expect Bank of England rate cuts in March and June. The latest UK inflation read is a mixed bag for the Bank of England, but we doubt it drastically changes the odds of a March rate cut.

Top 3 Price Prediction: Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple face downside risk as bears regain control

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple remain under pressure on Wednesday, with the broader trend still sideways. BTC is edging below $68,000, nearing the lower consolidating boundary, while ETH and XRP also declined slightly, approaching their key supports.