Last week ended on an ugly note, really, as the jobs data from the US revealed throughout the week was weak, but maybe not weak enough to tilt the Federal Reserve (Fed) expectations toward a clear direction. US yields fell and the equities fell, the USDJPY fell to the lowest levels since August meltdown.
And if it’s not enough, the data released in the earliest hours of this week pointed that the Japanese economy recovered slower-than-expected but that the price pressures remained higher than expected in Q2, and that inflation in China came in below estimates as well, not helping to relieve the growing tensions about China and its sputtering economy. The Nikkei index is down by more than 0.60% at the time of writing and China’s CSI 300 is down by more than 1%.
US crude fell 1.75% on the back of the mixed US jobs data on Friday, closed last week below the $70pb psychological level, copper futures remain below the 200-DMA. Good news is, US futures are in the positive, hinting that we could see a small rebound after last week’s heavy selloff as attention shifts to Apple’s product reveal, US CPI update and the European Central Bank (ECB) decision.
This report has been prepared by Swissquote Bank Ltd and is solely been published for informational purposes and is not to be construed as a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any currency or any other financial instrument. Views expressed in this report may be subject to change without prior notice and may differ or be contrary to opinions expressed by Swissquote Bank Ltd personnel at any given time. Swissquote Bank Ltd is under no obligation to update or keep current the information herein, the report should not be regarded by recipients as a substitute for the exercise of their own judgment.
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks

AUD/USD climbs closer to 0.6500 as Israel-Iran ceasefire boosts risk sentiment
AUD/USD recovers further toward 0.6500 early Tuesday amid a positive turnaround in global risk sentiment, bolstered by the Israel-Iran ceasefire announcement. This, along with the revival of Fed rate cut bets, weighs heavily on the safe-haven US Dollar, lending support to the pair for the second consecutive day.

USD/JPY extends the pullback below 145.50 amid a weaker US Dollar
USD/JPY extends the sharp retracement from 148.00 for the second consecutive day on Tuesday amid a broad US Dollar weakness. Fed Governor Bowman pointed to the possibility of a rate cut in July. Meanwhile, the Iran-Israel ceasefire also undermines the USD, adding to the pair's downside ahead of Fed Chair Powell's two-day congressional testimony.

Gold awaits Powell amid Iran-Israel ceasefire, July Fed rate cut talks
Gold price bounces-off nine-day lows near $3,335 early Tuesday on reviving July Fed rate cut talks. US Dollar corrects sharply from the monthly top on a Iran-Israel ceasefire and dovish Fed expectations. XAU/USD looks to Fed Powell’s testimony as the 50-day SMA is tested; the daily RSI teases the midline.

Bitcoin, crypto market begin recovery as Israel and Iran agree to a ceasefire
The cryptocurrency market made a comeback on Monday, rebounding from a weekend dip as top assets, including Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP, staged a recovery. The rebound follows US President Donald Trump's statement that Israel and Iran will each conduct a 12-hour ceasefire, after which the war threats will come to an end.

Could Iran block the Strait of Hormuz? Why Oil is on edge after US strikes
As the Israel-Iran conflict reaches new heights, an old threat is coming back to haunt the markets: that of the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. This narrow arm of the sea in the Persian Gulf, wedged between Iran to the north and the United Arab Emirates and Oman to the south, is much more than a simple sea passage.

The Best brokers to trade EUR/USD
SPONSORED Discover the top brokers for trading EUR/USD in 2025. Our list features brokers with competitive spreads, fast execution, and powerful platforms. Whether you're a beginner or an expert, find the right partner to navigate the dynamic Forex market.