|

WTI Price Analysis: Renews eight-year high on Russia-Ukraine conflict

  • WTI prints the biggest daily gains while piercing seven-month-old resistance line.
  • Overbought RSI, September 2014 peak may test the bulls.
  • 21-DMA, ascending trend line from December 2021 limits immediate downside.

WTI crude oil prices rise 2.67% on a day, despite recently easing from a multi-day high of $95.12, as Russia invades Ukraine during Thursday’s Asian session. That said, the black gold trades around $94.50 by the press time.

Read: Breaking: NATO has officially told Reuters that an official invasion of Ukraine has begun

It’s worth noting that the commodity prices recently ticked beyond an upward sloping trend line from July 2021, around $94.40 at the latest, to renew the highest levels since September 2014. However, overbought RSI conditions may test the bulls, which in turn require a daily closing beyond $94.40 to reject the odds of a pullback.

Even if the WTI crude oil prices stay beyond $94.40, September 2014 high near $96.00 will act as an additional upside filter before directing the quote towards the $100.00 psychological magnet.

Meanwhile, a pullback move will need to conquer the $90.00 threshold, also near to the 21-DMA and a three-month-long rising trend line.

Following that, the monthly low of $87.30 and the October 2021 peak of around $85.00 will be in focus.

Overall, geopolitics favor the bulls but technical details need validation to confirm the commodity’s further upside.

WTI: Daily chart

Trend: Pullback expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price94.71
Today Daily Change2.79
Today Daily Change %3.04%
Today daily open91.92
 
Trends
Daily SMA2089.66
Daily SMA5082.93
Daily SMA10080.15
Daily SMA20075.26
 
Levels
Previous Daily High93.58
Previous Daily Low90.39
Previous Weekly High94.02
Previous Weekly Low87.29
Previous Monthly High88.22
Previous Monthly Low74.12
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%92.36
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%91.61
Daily Pivot Point S190.35
Daily Pivot Point S288.77
Daily Pivot Point S387.16
Daily Pivot Point R193.54
Daily Pivot Point R295.15
Daily Pivot Point R396.73

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD loses momentum, flirts with 1.3200

GBP/USD is struggling to maintain its positive bias on Thursday, retreating toward the 1.3200 region in response to the pick in the buying interest around the Greenback. That said, Cable remains under scrutiny as cautious market sentiment keeps investors focused on the US-Iran conflict and political effervescence in the UK.

EUR/USD trims gains, challenges 1.1400

EUR/USD now gives away part of its earlier advance, receding toward the 1.1400 contention zone on Thursday. Meanwhile, the pair’s recovery comes amid extra losses in the US Dollar, at the time when while investors continue to monitor developments in the Middle East and sentiment surrounding global technology stocks.

Gold remains bid and close to $4,100

Gold accelerates its recovery and approaches the key $4,000 mark per troy ounce at the end of the week, adding to Thursday’s advance. However, expectations for a hawkish Fed remain steady and keep the yellow metal’s potential upside contained.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin at $60,000, Ethereum at $1,500, and XRP at $1 face a make-or-break test

Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and Ripple (XRP) are trading in the red on Friday after three consecutive days of losses, testing their respective make-or-break support levels.

Week ahead – NFP report to challenge Dollar strength and the hawkish Fed

Dollar strength dominates markets, as the hawkish Fed overshadows geopolitics and lower oil prices. NFP week could drive September Fed hike expectations and boost market volatility. The euro lacks fresh bullish catalysts, all eyes on the preliminary inflation report and the ECB Forum.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.