|

Week of September 10 - In EM contagion is raging - TDS

Analysts at TD Securities, (TDS), explained that the word "contagion" is increasingly being used to explain the broad-based poor performance of EM assets. 

Key Quotes:

"But "contagion" implies that pricing is driven by flows rather than fundamentals."

"We are on the outlook for opportunities...

CBs (GBP,EUR,TRY,RUB); Spkrs (USD,SEK,AUD,GBP,NOK); Jobs (GBP,AUD); CPI (CNY,NOK,USD,JPY,SEK); IP (EUR,CNY); Survey (EUR,USD,AUD); GDP (JPY,SEK); Retail (CNY,USD); Housing (CAD,USD); BoP/Trade (GBP,JPY)."

Weekly Highlights

  • ECB Preview: Time to Deploy the Taper
  • BoE Preview: Nothing to See Here...
  • Two charts to ponder in USDCAD
  • The $200bn Question
  • The Riksbank Pushes Out its Rate Hike. Again.
  • September BoC: Don't Rock the Boat
  • Trade Idea: Receive 10y US vs EU Swaps
  • AUD Q2 GDP: good news, CPI next

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD gathers strength to near 1.1550 ahead of ECB rate decision

The EUR/USD pair trades in positive territory near 1.1540 during the early Asian trading hours on Thursday. Rising bets that the European Central Bank will deliver a rate hike at its June policy meeting later on Thursday underpin the Euro against the Greenback. 


GBP/USD nudges higher above 1.3350 despite rising Fed hike bets

The GBP/USD pair gathers strength to around 1.3385 during the Asian trading hours on Thursday. However, the potential upside might be limited amid rising expectations for higher-for-longer US interest rates. Markets might turn cautious later in the day ahead of the US Producer Price Index report.

Gold holds below $4,100 after rebounding from seven-month lows

Gold clings to moderate gains in Asia on Thursday, following its rebound from the lowest level since November 2025 at $4,024. Renewed US-Iran hostilities push Crude Oil prices higher, reviving inflationary concerns and bolstering hawkish Fed bets. This continues to drive flows away from the non-yielding bullion, though subdued US Dollar demand helps spot prices to find some support.

Bitcoin faces further downside risk amid growing short-term holder losses, weak ETF demand

Bitcoin's recent decline toward the $60,000 level has pushed the market further into bearish territory, with new investors suffering huge unrealized losses, according to a Glassnode report on Wednesday. The firm noted that Bitcoin's earlier May rally now appears increasingly as a "bear bounce".

From sizzle to fizzle: Tech sinks as Oil puts the Fed tail back on the table
Wall Street was not hit by one punch. It was caught between three swinging doors at the same time: a renewed technology unwind, a fresh geopolitical oil bid, and a wave of equity supply that is starting to look less like capital formation and more like a liquidity test for the entire AI complex.
The US economy defies the rules: 100 days into the Oil shock and the recession signal is still missing

More than three months after the start of the Iran war and the resulting disruption to global energy markets, the US economy continues to display remarkable resilience. The conflict has triggered a sharp rise in Oil prices, reignited inflationary pressures and fueled widespread concerns about a potential economic slowdown.