|

Wall Street closes in a sea of red on mounting contagion fears

  • Turkish Lira recovers further ground, how markets more concerned over contagion risks and an undercurrent of tightening dollar liquidity offshore.
  • The CBOE Volatility index spiked to its highest level since June 29. 
  • Oil prices collapsed, sending the energy sector lower.

The CBOE Volatility index rallied on Wednesday, climbing to the highest level in more than a month as the fear of contagion spread throughout global markets. North American stocks were a sea of red following a negative European session and the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA dropped 137.51 points, falling 0.5%, to 25,162.41 after losing more than 300 points at one stage to below the psychological 25,000. The S&P 500 lost 21.59 points, or 0.8%, to close at 2,818.37 while the Nasdaq Composite lost 96.78 points, or 1.2%, to finish at 7,774.12 with large-capitalization technology and internet bleeding heavily. 

However, overall, there are growing concerns of contagion risks spreading throughout nations with debt exposure to Turkey and indeed emerging market nations while the cross-currents of a stronger dollar ripples through the less developed markets - and the US is not isolated considering the integration of global markets and indeed its worsening trade relations with its major partners such as China. 

Hence, the VIX spiked a considerable margin of 25%, or by 3.28 points, to 16.59 making for the index's biggest one-day percentage gain since June 25. However, it still remains well below its long-term average between 19 and 20 - for the time being at least. Investors are concerned for the deteriorating relationship between the US and Turkey, (and of other nations), whereby Turkey is refusing to free the US pastor jailed on espionage charges and retaliated to the US imposing duties on Turkish aluminum and steel last week by raising tariffs on a number of American products, in response to those “conscious attacks,” from a tweet posted by the NATO nation's vice president - Fuat Oktay.

Meanwhile, WTI dropped to a fresh low of $64.95 and oil futures also fell following U.S. crude inventories posting an unexpected rise last week - (The S&P 500 energy sector lost 3.5%).

DJIA Technical Outlook (via FXStreet Chief Analyst Valeria Bednarik)

The daily chart for the index shows that it neared its 200 DMA before recovering, while the Momentum indicator remains flat around its 100 level, but the RSI turned south, currently at around 46, all of which leans the scale toward the downside without confirming it. In the 4 hours chart, the index finished below a bearish 20 SMA which extended its decline below the 100 SMA, while technical indicators bounced from near oversold levels, now advancing within negative readings.

Support levels: 25,144 25,088 25,027

Resistance levels: 25,233 25,280 25,338

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD remains above 0.7200 after China's trade data

AUD/USD sits above 0.7200 in the Asian session on Tuesday, near its highest level since May 14. The US Dollar stays under pressure as a rallying Japanese Yen outweighs support from hawkish Fed bets and geopolitical tensions. This, along with firming expectations for another RBA rate hike later this month, acts as a tailwind for the Aussie. However, mixed China trade balance data keep the pair restricted.

USD/JPY recovers to 154.00 amid hawkish BoJ repricing

USD/JPY is recovering from six-month lows of 152.89, retesting 154.00 in European trading on Tuesday. However, the upside attempts appear limited as Japan's upbeat wage growth data and Q2 GDP revision cement bets on a BoJ rate hike next week and continue to boost the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, US Dollar selling remains unabated despite hawkish Fed expectations and rising geopolitical tensions, lending additional support to the pair.

Gold traders seem hesitant below $4,450 as Fed rate hike bets counter softer USD

Gold retreats to the lower end of its daily range heading into the European session, though it holds above the $4,400 mark amid a softer US Dollar. However, hawkish US Federal Reserve expectations, along with persistent geopolitical uncertainties, offer some support to the safe-haven buck and keep a lid on the non-yielding bullion.

Ripple and Stellar outlook: Hold bullish bias above EMAs as derivatives back upside
Ripple (XRP) and Stellar (XLM) hold above the key support zones on Tuesday, hinting at an upside move. Derivatives metrics further support the recovery, with both altcoins showing positive funding rates and rising long positions. Derivatives data shows a bullish tilt among XRP and XLM traders.
Europe in focus: September 2026
Six major net contributors demanded substantial cuts to the European Commission’s proposed 2028–2034 EU budget. Germany, Denmark, the Netherlands, Austria, Finland and Sweden issued a joint position on 27 August calling for the nearly €2 trillion proposal to be reduced by several hundred billion euros and rejecting additional common EU borrowing.
Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.