|

USD/TWD: Uptrend is likely to extend on a break past 31.50/31.58 – SocGen

The TWD is languishing ahead of the presidential election on Saturday. Economists at Société Générale analyze USD/TWD outlook.

Positioning for Taiwan presidential election may spur safe haven-demand for Bonds, Gold, Swissie

Safe-haven demand ahead of the presidential election in Taiwan on Saturday could see investors buying government debt, the Swiss Franc and Gold.

USD/TWD has experienced a quick bounce after testing the trend line drawn since 2022 near 30.48. Cross above the upper band of a pattern resembling falling wedge denotes possibility of further upside. 

Recent gap at 30.80 is near term support. Defence of this level can lead to continuation in up move towards 50-DMA and recent pivot high at 31.50/31.58; this is an important hurdle. If the pair overcomes this zone, the uptrend is likely to extend.

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD sticks to neutral bias above 0.7100 amid cautious markets

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7100 in the Asian session on Monday as the US Dollar stalls its modest pullback from the highest level since late July amid persistent geopolitical uncertainties. The PBOC status quo on Loan Prime Rates also weighs on the Aussie. However, bets on another RBA rate hike continue to underpin the Australian Dollar ahead of the Trump-Xi Summit.

USD/JPY eases below 157.00 amid looming intervention risks

USD/JPY is easing back below 157.00 in Asia on Monday, undermined by modest Japanese Yen strength amid looming intervention risks after Friday's BoJ rate check. A Japanese holiday also keeps traders on edge amid escalating geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine and in the Middle East. As a result, the US Dollar pauses its pullback, limiting the pair's downside.

Gold feeling the heat as geopolitics is back in play

Gold snaps recent recovery from six-week lows on Monday after facing rejection at $4,400. US Dollar stalls correction amid renewed geopolitical jitters, ahead of the Trump-Xi meeting. Gold’s daily technical setup paints a mixed picture, with a neutral daily RSI.

Solana extends rally as tokenized equity holders hit a record

Solana (SOL) extends its gains, trading above $111.70 after rallying nearly 12% last week. The bullish price action comes as growth in Solana’s tokenized equity ecosystem reaches a new milestone. Meanwhile, improving momentum indicators and strengthening institutional demand point to further gains in SOL.

Economics week ahead

This week is light on the domestic data front, with focus on Thursday's new home sales report. We expect sales to partially recover in August, rising 2.6% to a 623K pace after a sharp decline in July. Higher mortgage rates continue to weigh on affordability and demand, though builder incentives remained in place and conditions did not worsen materially during the month.

BoJ Recap: Not as hawkish as expected

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) raised its short-term interest-rate target to 1.25% from 1.00% in a 7-2 vote, marking another step in the normalisation of monetary policy and widely matching what everyone has been expecting for weeks.