USD/JPY to motor on the upside on no concern over yen weakness from Tokyo – ING

FXStreet Insights Team FXStreet

Economists at ING highlight no signs of concern from Japan regarding JPY weakness. As such, they expect USD/JPY to race higher given that no action is set to take place until the pair reaches the 120 level.

No concern from Tokyo

“Clearly there is no panic in Tokyo over USD/JPY back near 116. And we suspect that it would take a fast move to 120 to trigger a little more concern.”

“We know that the JPY has the highest negative correlation with global equity markets. But were some stability to emerge in equities, and US 10-year yields to drive up to the 2.00/2.25% area as we suspect, USD/JPY could start to motor on the upside.”

“As for other currencies, expect the JPY to be interested in the big energy meetings this week, including OPEC+. Brent pushing towards $90/bl – and coal prices rising too – are negative for Japan’s terms of trade and the JPY.”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

FXStreet

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

GBP/USD trims losses, disputes 1.3400

GBP/USD retreats after reaching a three-week high above 1.3430 and puts the 1.3400 region to the test on Thursday. Although easing political uncertainty in the UK helps the quid limit its downside, escalating tensions in the Middle East support the Greenback, keeping Cable under scrutiny.

EUR/USD off highs, back to 1.1430

EUR/USD loses momentum after briefly climbing to the 1.1450 area earlier in the day, revisiting the 1.1430 region on Thursday. Escalating tensions in the Middle East fail to underpin the US Dollar, although a broad sense of caution continues to prevail among market participants.

Gold climbs to two-day peaks near $4,130

Gold stages a modest rebound on Thursday, setting aside a three-day losing streak and managing to surpass the $4,100 mark per troy ounce. However, steady geopolitical tensions have revived concerns over persistently high global inflation, reinforcing expectations of higher rates across the board and somewhat curtailing the yellow metal’s upside potential.

Bitcoin stalls as mixed ETF flows, renewed US-Iran tensions cap upside

Bitcoin trades at $63,000 on Thursday, recovering slightly after facing rejection near $64,000. Renewed geopolitical uncertainty has dampened risk appetite, limiting BTC upside potential.

Japan may be changing its Yen strategy, but markets don’t look scared

Japan may be changing its intervention playbook, but that might not be enough to rescue the battered Yen. With USD/JPY hovering at four-decade highs, the currency’s weakness is being driven less by speculative pressure and more by a powerful structural force: the wide US-Japan rate gap.

Bye, forward guidance: How to trade when central banks choose silence

Central banks have spent years telling markets what might come next. Now, traders face the possibility that they say a lot less. From the Federal Reserve to the European Central Bank and the Bank of England, policymakers are pushing back against forward guidance.