|

USD/JPY scope for a test of 114.35 – UOB

FX Strategists at UOB Group stay bullish on the pair and allow a potential visit to 114.35 in the next weeks.

Key Quotes

“The bullish phase in USD is entering its third week and the strong daily closing above 113.55 last Friday suggests that there is scope for a break above 114.35, the high back in May”.

“We indicated last Thursday that in order for USD to maintain its bullish impetus, it has to ‘move and stay above 113.55’ and now that the condition is met, the odds for further USD strength appear to be quite high”.

“From here, a break above 114.35 could lead to acceleration higher as the next significant resistance is much further up at 115.50 (high in March). We have suggested those who are long USD from 111.65 to exit half of their position at 112.75 previously. Those with remaining long should utilize 113.00 as a stop-loss (level adjusted higher from 112.40 previously)”.

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates near 0.7000 as USD stays weak

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7000 during Thursday’s Asian session, consolidating the previous day’s recovery gains from a near three-week low as the Democratic sweep in the US midterm elections and Iran diplomacy hopes continue to weigh on the US Dollar. Bulls, however, seem hesitant as focus shifts to Friday’s crucial US NFP report.

USD/JPY drifts lower to 158.25 on hawkish BoJ Minutes, weak USD

USD/JPY trades with a negative bias for the second straight day on Thursday as hawkish BoJ Minutes, showing members agreed to keep raising rates, and intervention risks support the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, US midterm election results and hopes for Iran diplomacy keep the US Dollar depressed as focus shifts to Friday’s US NFP report.

Gold extends rally as Democrats’ victory weakens US yields

Gold rallies further to near $4,135 in the Asian trade on Thursday, the highest level seen in almost two weeks. The precious metal continues to attract bids as the victory of United States Democrats in both the House and the Senate has weighed heavily on US bond yields and the US Dollar.

XRP and XLM extend recovery as bears lose steam

Ripple and Stellar extend their recovery on Thursday as bearish pressure begins to ease for both altcoins. XRP trades above $1.30 after breaking above the upper trendline of a falling channel pattern, while XLM holds above $0.168 and approaches resistance at $0.173. Meanwhile, improving derivatives metrics and strengthening momentum indicators hint at a potential for further recovery.

US midterms 2026: Investor Q&A on the Democratic sweep
1. Gridlock replaces the stimulus narrative. A Democratic Congress would constrain Trump's ability to pursue additional fiscal expansion and legislative tax measures. But it cannot simply reverse the president's entire economic agenda. Executive powers, existing legislation and presidential vetoes remain important. 2. AI faces a higher hurdle, not an extinction event.
US Dollar breaks below 101.50 as Democrats sweep Congress
The US Dollar (USD) comes under heavy selling pressure on Wednesday, with the US Dollar Index (DXY) falling around 0.5% to trade near 101.35 after sliding below the 101.50 level. The Greenback retreats to its lowest level in four weeks as investors reassess the political and economic outlook following the Democratic Party's sweeping victory in the United States (US) midterm elections.