|

 USD/JPY remains steady near 153.50 with Tokyo CPI in focus

  • The USD/JPY remains steady around 153.50, confirming its recovery from 152.00 lows.
  • US Treasury Secretary Bessent denied any plan to support the Yen on Wednesday.
  • Tokyo CPI data, due later on Thursday, will check the BoJ's tightening plans.

The US Dollar is gaining the upper hand against the Japanese Yen, with both currencies among the worst G8 performers this week. The pair trades near 153.50 at the time of writing, consolidating its recovery from three-month lows near 152.00, as the focus shifts to the Tokyo CPI reading, due later on the day.

The Yen went through a significant pullback on Wednesday, following comments by US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, who affirmed that Washington is pursuing a strong Dollar policy. Bessent also played down speculation about a US-Japan coordinated plan to support the Yen, a rumour that sent the pair tumbling last Friday. 

BoJ remains committed to higher interest rates

Previously, the Yen had been supported by the hawkish tone shown by the minutes of the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) latest monetary policy meeting. The BoJ’s committee shared the scenario of rising inflationary pressures, a weak Yen, and wage growth, which paves the path for further monetary tightening.

In that sense, Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI), due later on Thursday, will be closely watched for confirmation of those theories. Consumer inflation in Japan’s capital eased to 2% year-on-year in December from 2.7% in November, and the market consensus for the core CPI suggests that price pressures moderated further in January, which, if confirmed, could add negative pressure on the Yen.

In the US, the main focus on Thursday will be on the US initial Jobless Claims, which are expected to have ticked up to 205k in the week of January 24, from 200k in the previous one. Apart from that, Factory Orders are expected to have bounced up in November, while, on the negative side, the deficit on goods and services trade is forecasted to have widened in November.

Economic Indicator

Tokyo Consumer Price Index (YoY)

The Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI), released by the Statistics Bureau of Japan on a monthly basis, measures the price fluctuation of goods and services purchased by households in the Tokyo region. The index is widely considered as a leading indicator of Japan’s overall CPI as it is published weeks before the nationwide reading. The YoY reading compares prices in the reference month to the same month a year earlier. Generally, a high reading is seen as bullish for the Japanese Yen (JPY), while a low reading is seen as bearish.

Read more.

Next release: Thu Jan 29, 2026 23:30

Frequency: Monthly

Consensus: -

Previous: 2%

Source: Statistics Bureau of Japan

Economic Indicator

Tokyo CPI ex Fresh Food (YoY)

The Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI), released by the Statistics Bureau of Japan on a monthly basis, measures the price fluctuation of goods and services purchased by households in the Tokyo region excluding fresh food, whose prices often fluctuate depending on the weather. The index is widely considered as a leading indicator of Japan’s overall CPI as it is published weeks before the nationwide reading. The YoY reading compares prices in the reference month to the same month a year earlier. Generally, a high reading is seen as bullish for the Japanese Yen (JPY), while a low reading is seen as bearish.

Read more.

Next release: Thu Jan 29, 2026 23:30

Frequency: Monthly

Consensus: 2.2%

Previous: 2.3%

Source: Statistics Bureau of Japan

Author

Guillermo Alcala

Graduated in Communication Sciences at the Universidad del Pais Vasco and Universiteit van Amsterdam, Guillermo has been working as financial news editor and copywriter in diverse Forex-related firms, like FXStreet and Kantox.

More from Guillermo Alcala
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD bounces off lows, back above 1.3200

After bottoming out near 1.3160, GBP/USD manages to regain a bit of shine and reclaim the 1.3200 mark and beyond at the end of the week. Stronger-than-expected UK Retail Sales data seem to be helping the British Pound limit its losses, while the chaotic UK political environment keeps the bulls at bay for now.

EUR/USD looks consolidative around 1.1460

EUR/USD stages a modest rebound after slipping to a three-month low below 1.1420 at the end of the week. That said, the pair now looks to consolidate humble gains just above 1.1460 despite growing uncertainty surrounding the next round of US-Iran negotiations, which keeps the US Dollar’s downside contained.

Gold slips back to six-day lows, targets $4,100

Gold retreats for the third consecutive day on Friday, eroding gains seen in the first half of the week and approaching the key $4,100 mark per troy ounce. Indeed, the precious metal continues to face headwinds from the Fed's hawkish stance and renewed uncertainty surrounding the next round of US-Iran negotiations.

Breaking: Iran closes the Strait of Hormuz amid ceasefire deal violation
Iran says it is closing the Strait of Hormuz after accusing the United States (US) and Israel of violating the ceasefire. According to Iran, the decision came over the continued Israeli strikes in Lebanon. The Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy issued a warning to all vessels: "Do not approach the Strait of Hormuz; otherwise, your security will be jeopardized."
The Iran war didn't break the US economy, but what happens next?

Nearly four months after the start of the Iran war, the US economy remains remarkably resilient. While the conflict initially triggered a severe disruption to global energy markets and a sharp rise in Oil prices, recent diplomatic progress between Washington and Tehran has eased concerns about a prolonged supply shock.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.