|

USD/JPY Price Forecast: Stalls below 150.00 as Yen recovers from earlier losses

  • USD/JPY ends flat at 149.38, erasing a 0.54% loss as safe-haven flows boost the Yen late in the session.
  • ‘Gravestone doji’ pattern forms, signaling momentum shift to the downside, with first support at 149.00.
  • A break above 150.00 could trigger gains toward 150.67, but RSI flattening suggests limited upside potential.

The USD/jPY finished Tuesday’s session with anemic gains of 0.04%. The session was characterized by overall Japanese Yen (JPY) weakness until its safe-haven status boosted the Yen to trim earlier losses of 0.54%. As Wednesday’s Asian session begins, the pair trades at 149,38, virtually unchanged.

USD/JPY Price Forecast: Technical outlook

The USD/JPY rallied over 2.32% since bottoming around March 11 low of 146.54 and hit a high of 149.93 on March 18 before pulling back to current spot prices. Sellers moved late in yesterday’s session, helping to overcome earlier buying pressure. Therefore a ‘gravestone doji’ formed, hinting that momentum has shifted to the downside.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) aims slightly up, but the slope flattened somewhat, which could indicate a bearish continuation.

The USD/JPY first support would be the 149.00 figure. A breach of the latter will expose the Tenkan-sen at 148.20, closely followed by the March 14 low of 147.76. Conversely, if buyers push the pair above 150.00, this will expose the Kijun-sen at 150.67 before testing the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 151.91.

USD/JPY Price Chart – Daily

Japanese Yen PRICE This week

The table below shows the percentage change of Japanese Yen (JPY) against listed major currencies this week. Japanese Yen was the strongest against the US Dollar.

 USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD -0.58%-0.48%0.42%-0.58%-0.44%-1.23%-0.90%
EUR0.58% -0.02%0.59%0.00%0.00%-0.67%-0.35%
GBP0.48%0.02% 0.93%-0.20%0.00%-0.67%-0.41%
JPY-0.42%-0.59%-0.93% -0.99%-1.07%-1.59%-1.48%
CAD0.58%-0.00%0.20%0.99% -0.06%-0.65%-0.87%
AUD0.44%-0.00%-0.00%1.07%0.06% -0.64%-0.34%
NZD1.23%0.67%0.67%1.59%0.65%0.64% 0.32%
CHF0.90%0.35%0.41%1.48%0.87%0.34%-0.32% 

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Japanese Yen from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent JPY (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD drops to daily lows near 1.1630

EUR/USD now loses some traction and slips back to the area of daily lows around 1.1630 on the back of a mild bounce in the US Dollar. Fresh US data, including the September PCE inflation numbers and the latest read on December consumer sentiment, didn’t really move the needle, so the pair is still on course to finish the week with a respectable gain.

GBP/USD trims gains, recedes toward 1.3320

GBP/USD is struggling to keep its daily advance, coming under fresh pressure and retreating to the 1.3320 zone following a mild bullish attempt in the Greenback. Even though US consumer sentiment surprised to the upside, the US Dollar isn’t getting much love, as traders are far more interested in what the Fed will say next week.

Gold makes a U-turn, back to $4,200

Gold is now losing the grip and receding to the key $4,200 region per troy ounce following some signs of life in the Greenback and a marked bounce in US Treasury yields across the board. The positive outlook for the precious metal, however, remains underpinned by steady bets for extra easing by the Fed.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP pare gains despite increasing hopes of upcoming Fed rate cut

Bitcoin is steadying above $91,000 at the time of writing on Friday. Ethereum remains above $3,100, reflecting positive sentiment ahead of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy meeting on December 10.

Week ahead – Rate cut or market shock? The Fed decides

Fed rate cut widely expected; dot plot and overall meeting rhetoric also matter. Risk appetite is supported by Fed rate cut expectations; cryptos show signs of life. RBA, BoC and SNB also meet; chances of surprises are relatively low.

Ripple faces persistent bear risks, shrugging off ETF inflows

Ripple is extending its decline for the second consecutive day, trading at $2.06 at the time of writing on Friday. Sentiment surrounding the cross-border remittance token continues to lag despite steady inflows into XRP spot ETFs.