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USD/JPY Price Analysis: Moves lower to near 141.20 ahead of Chicago PMI release

  • USD/JPY remains above the 141.00 psychological level amid a weaker US Dollar.
  • The immediate resistance could be at the 141.50 major level following the 142.00 level.
  • Technical indicators suggest a bearish sentiment to retest the 141.00 psychological support.

USD/JPY continues to experience declines, driven by the weakening US Dollar (USD) influenced by subdued US bond yields. This trend is likely attributed to the dovish outlook of the Federal Reserve (Fed) in the first quarter of 2024. As of the early European session on Friday, the USD/JPY trades lower around 141.20. The immediate resistance is noted at the 141.50 level, with the next barrier at the 142.00 level.

A breakthrough above the psychological level could provide support for the USD/JPY pair to approach the nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 142.24, with the psychological resistance at the 143.00 level acting as a significant hurdle. If the pair successfully surpasses this level, the next barrier to overcome would be the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level at 143.35.

The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) residing below the 50 level points to a weakened sentiment for the USD/JPY pair. Adding to the bearish outlook, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line is positioned below both the centerline and the signal line, confirming the prevailing bearish momentum in the market for USD/JPY.

This bearish sentiment may drive the USD/JPY pair towards the psychological support region around 141.00. A decisive break below this level could potentially open the door for the pair to test the significant level at 140.50.

USD/JPY: Daily Chart

USD/JPY: more technical levels to watch

Overview
Today last price141.24
Today Daily Change-0.13
Today Daily Change %-0.09
Today daily open141.37
 
Trends
Daily SMA20143.97
Daily SMA50147.52
Daily SMA100147.59
Daily SMA200142.98
 
Levels
Previous Daily High141.89
Previous Daily Low140.25
Previous Weekly High144.96
Previous Weekly Low141.86
Previous Monthly High151.91
Previous Monthly Low146.67
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%140.88
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%141.26
Daily Pivot Point S1140.45
Daily Pivot Point S2139.53
Daily Pivot Point S3138.81
Daily Pivot Point R1142.09
Daily Pivot Point R2142.81
Daily Pivot Point R3143.73

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

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