|

USD/JPY: Likely to trade in a range of 146.30/147.35 – UOB Group

US Dollar (USD) is likely to trade in a range of 146.30/147.35. In the longer run, downward momentum has slowed, but there is a slim chance for USD to revisit the 145.45 level, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.

Downward momentum has slowed

24-HOUR VIEW: "Yesterday, when USD was at 146.35, we indicated that 'strong downward momentum may lead to further USD weakness, possibly toward 145.85.' We highlighted that 'to sustain the downward momentum, USD must not break above 146.90, with minor resistance at 146.60.' We did not anticipate the volatile price movements, as USD plunged to a low of 145.47 and then snapped back, reaching a high of 147.05. While there has been a build-up in upward momentum, this is likely to lead to a higher range of 146.30/147.35. In other words, USD is unlikely to break clearly above 147.35."

1-3 WEEKS VIEW: "Yesterday (17 Aug, spot at 146.35), we revised our USD outlook to negative, indicating that 'the sharp increase in short-term downward momentum suggests USD could weaken to 145.85.' We did not anticipate the sharp drop that sent USD to a low of 145.47. USD rebounded strongly from the low to close on a firm note at 146.97 (+0.33%). While downward momentum has slowed with the strong rebound, only a breach of 147.35 (no change in ‘strong resistance’ level) would indicate that USD has moved back into a range-trading phase. Until then, there is a slim chance for USD to revisit the 145.45 level."

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD struggles for direction amid USD gains

EUR/USD is trimming part of its earlier gains, coming under some mild downside pressure near 1.1730 as the US Dollar edges higher. Markets are still digesting the Fed’s latest rate decision, while also looking ahead to more commentary from Fed officials in the sessions ahead.

GBP/USD drops to daily lows near 1.3360

Disappointing UK data weighed on the Sterling towards the end of the week, triggering a pullback in GBP/USD to fresh daily lows near 1.3360. Looking ahead, the next key event across the Channel is the BoE meeting on December 18.

Gold losses momentum, challenges $4,300

Gold now gives away some gains and disputes the key $4,300 zone per troy ounce following earlier multi-week highs. The move is being driven by expectations that the Fed will deliver further rate cuts next year, with the yellow metal climbing despite a firmer Greenback and rising US Treasury yields across the board.

Litecoin Price Forecast: LTC struggles to extend gains, bullish bets at risk

Litecoin (LTC) price steadies above $80 at press time on Friday, following a reversal from the $87 resistance level on Wednesday. Derivatives data suggests a bullish positional buildup while the LTC futures Open Interest declines, flashing a long squeeze risk.

Big week ends with big doubts

The S&P 500 continued to push higher yesterday as the US 2-year yield wavered around the 3.50% mark following a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut earlier this week that was ultimately perceived as not that hawkish after all. The cut is especially boosting the non-tech pockets of the market.

Aave Price Forecast: AAVE primed for breakout as bullish signals strengthen

Aave (AAVE) price is trading above $204 at the time of writing on Friday and approaching the upper boundary of its descending parallel channel; a breakout from this structure would favor the bulls.