USD/JPY: Bears set to push towards testing 141.66 – UOB Group

FXStreet Insights Team FXStreet

The US Dollar (USD) is likely to range trade, probably between 143.90 and 145.10. In the longer term, USD remains under pressure, and increase in momentum has increased the chance of it reaching 141.66, UOB Group FX strategists Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note.

Rangebound between 143.90 and 145.10

24-HOUR VIEW: “We expected USD to ‘decline further, potentially reaching 142.80.’ We highlighted that ‘to keep the momentum going, USD must remain below 145.00.’ Our expectations did not turn out, as USD rebounded from 143.43 to 144.65, closing modestly higher at 144.52 (+0.10%). Slowing downward momentum, combined with oversold conditions, suggests USD is likely to range trade today, probably between 143.90 and 145.10.”

1-3 WEEKS VIEW: “We highlighted yesterday (26 Aug, spot at 143.85) that USD ‘remains under pressure.’ We also highlighted that the increase in momentum from last Friday ‘has increased the chance of it reaching 141.66, the low registered early this month.’ While we continue to hold the same view, oversold short-term conditions could lead to a couple of days of range trading first. Overall, only a breach of 146.50 (no change in ‘strong resistance’ level) would mean that the current downward pressure has eased.”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

FXStreet

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

GBP/USD hits multi-week tops around 1.3560

GBP/USD gathers fresh steam and advances to new three-month peaks near the 1.3560 zone on Friday. Cable’s sharp move higher comes after three daily drops in a row and follows the increasing selling pressure hurting the Greenback.

EUR/USD pops to fresh two-month highs, targets 1.1600

EUR/USD advances markedly, revisiting the upper 1.1500s for the first time since mid-June. The pair’s sharp uptick comes on the back of a strong retracement in the US Dollar amid BoJ intervention chatter and despite steady uncertainty in the Middle East.

Gold picks up pace, approaches $4,400

Gold rebounds toward the $4,400 mark per troy ounce on Friday, reversing the previous day’s pullback. The precious metal’s recovery comes as fresh and intense weakness keep weighing on the US Dollar, while traders keep assessing easing expectations of an imminent Fed interest rate hike and the situation from the Middle East.

Pi Network Price Forecast: PI extends consolidation as bulls eye $0.10

Pi Network (PI) price holds steady on Friday, maintaining a consolidating tone for three consecutive days. Mild retail strength in the PI token remains stable, with Open Interest above $9 million, while social buzz eases. PI token’s technical outlook is mixed, as bearish momentum wanes to neutral, with bulls eyeing the $0.1000 psychological level.

Weekly focus: Some relief in US inflation concerns

Actual inflation data for July came out as expected with a 0.1% m/m increase in headline CPI and 0.2% excluding food and energy. Annual headline inflation remains too high at 3.4% and means that wage earners are experiencing stagnating spending power at best, and core inflation is a bit higher than the inflation target of two percent would suggest.

Why is Crude Oil priced for a reopening the ships haven't made?

Fourteen vessels crossed the Strait of Hormuz on Tuesday. Before the war, the count ran near 120 a day. In the sessions since the waterway was publicly declared open, Brent has drifted back to $87 and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) to $81, both a little lower again on Wednesday, with daily momentum on each unwound from the top of its range in late July to the low twenties now.