|

USD/IDR Price News: Indonesian Rupiah's sideways churn suggests bullish exhaustion

  • USD/IDR's daily chart shows bullish exhaustion in IDR. 
  • The MACD histogram is eyeing a bullish crossover above zero. 
  • The sideways churn could pave the way for a notable move to the higher side. 

The Indonesian Rupiah's uptrend looks to have run out of steam and the currency could come under pressure in the short-term, pushing the USD/IDR pair higher. 

The local unit is currently trading at 14,780 per US dollar, representing an 11.7% decline from the low of 16,738 registered on April 2. The currency has been trading in a sideways manner since May 21.

To put it another way, the USD/IDR pair's downtrend is now nearly two months old. Further declines, however, look unlikely, as the pair has charted consecutive doji candles on the daily chart. While the doji represents indecision, in this case, the candle has appeared following a notable sell-off and indices exhaustion of downtrend (or uptrend in IDR).

Further, the MACD histogram is about to cross above zero. That would confirm a bearish-to-bullish trend change. The indicator charted a bullish divergence in the first week of May. 

IDR, therefore, could soon come under pressure. USD/IDR faces resistance at 14,844 (100-hour simple moving average). On the downside, 14,700 is the level to beat for the sellers. 

Daily chart

Trend: Bullish

Technical levels

    1. R3 14710
    2. R2 14710
    3. R1 14710
  1. PP 14710
    1. S1 14710
    2. S2 14710
    3. S3 14710

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

More from Omkar Godbole
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD bounces off lows, back above 1.3200

After bottoming out near 1.3160, GBP/USD manages to regain a bit of shine and reclaim the 1.3200 mark and beyond at the end of the week. Stronger-than-expected UK Retail Sales data seem to be helping the British Pound limit its losses, while the chaotic UK political environment keeps the bulls at bay for now.

EUR/USD looks consolidative around 1.1460

EUR/USD stages a modest rebound after slipping to a three-month low below 1.1420 at the end of the week. That said, the pair now looks to consolidate humble gains just above 1.1460 despite growing uncertainty surrounding the next round of US-Iran negotiations, which keeps the US Dollar’s downside contained.

Gold slips back to six-day lows, targets $4,100

Gold retreats for the third consecutive day on Friday, eroding gains seen in the first half of the week and approaching the key $4,100 mark per troy ounce. Indeed, the precious metal continues to face headwinds from the Fed's hawkish stance and renewed uncertainty surrounding the next round of US-Iran negotiations.

Breaking: Iran closes the Strait of Hormuz amid ceasefire deal violation
Iran says it is closing the Strait of Hormuz after accusing the United States (US) and Israel of violating the ceasefire. According to Iran, the decision came over the continued Israeli strikes in Lebanon. The Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy issued a warning to all vessels: "Do not approach the Strait of Hormuz; otherwise, your security will be jeopardized."
The Iran war didn't break the US economy, but what happens next?

Nearly four months after the start of the Iran war, the US economy remains remarkably resilient. While the conflict initially triggered a severe disruption to global energy markets and a sharp rise in Oil prices, recent diplomatic progress between Washington and Tehran has eased concerns about a prolonged supply shock.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.