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USD/CHF Price Forecast: Bulls break 0.8150 as CPI fuels Fed bets

  • USD/CHF clears September high, opening path toward 0.8200.
  • Bullish RSI keeps buyers in control of near-term momentum.
  • Break below 0.8096 would expose 100-day SMA support.

The USDCHF climbs over 0.40% on Friday after US consumer inflation data, coupled with Thursday's PPI, pushed investors to price in a Fed interest rate hike at next week's meeting. The pair trades at 0.8165 after rebounding from daily lows of 0.8124.

USD/CHF Price Forecast: Technical Outlook

The USD/CHF daily chart shows the pair has bounced above a key resistance level at 0.8156, the September 2 high, opening the door to further upside.

Momentum, as measured by the Relative Strength Index (RSI), is bullish. Therefore, the path of least resistance is tilted upward.

If USD/CHF clears 0.8200, it paves the way to challenge the June 19, 2025, high of 0.8215. Above the next stop is the June 4 cycle high at 0.8250, followed by the psychological 0.8300 mark.

On the other hand, for a bearish-biased shift, USD/CHF needs to clear the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 0.8096 before retreating to the 100-day SMA at 0.8009.

USD/CHF Price Chart – Daily

USD/CHF daily chart

Swiss Franc Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Swiss Franc (CHF) against listed major currencies today. Swiss Franc was the strongest against the Canadian Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD0.11%-0.10%-0.58%0.28%-0.18%-0.26%0.38%
EUR-0.11%-0.23%-0.64%0.19%-0.29%-0.42%0.28%
GBP0.10%0.23%-0.42%0.41%-0.08%-0.17%0.58%
JPY0.58%0.64%0.42%0.87%0.37%0.29%1.01%
CAD-0.28%-0.19%-0.41%-0.87%-0.46%-0.56%0.17%
AUD0.18%0.29%0.08%-0.37%0.46%-0.10%0.65%
NZD0.26%0.42%0.17%-0.29%0.56%0.10%0.76%
CHF-0.38%-0.28%-0.58%-1.01%-0.17%-0.65%-0.76%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Swiss Franc from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent CHF (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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