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USD/CHF Price Analysis: On the defensive below 200-hour SMA, bearish bias remains

  • USD/CHF failed near 200-hour SMA and witnessed some intraday selling on Wednesday.
  • The set-up favours bearish traders and supports prospects for a further near-term slide.
  • Sustained weakness below the 0.9475-65 region needed to confirm the bearish outlook.

The USD/CHF pair struggled to capitalize on the overnight goodish intraday bounce of around 50 pips and witnessed a modest pullback on Wednesday. Bulls failed to lift the pair further beyond the 200-hour SMA stiff resistance, which should now act as a pivotal point for short-term traders.

Meanwhile, technical indicators on the daily chart maintained their bearish bias and have been struggling to gain any meaningful traction on hourly charts. The set-up seems firmly tilted in favour of bearish traders and supports prospects for an extension of the pair's near-term bearish trend.

That said, it will be prudent to wait for a convincing break below the 0.9475-65 horizontal zone before positioning for any further near-term depreciating move. The pair might then accelerate the fall further towards the 0.9400 mark en-route the recent swing lows, around the 0.9375 region.

Alternatively, a sustained strength beyond the 200-hour SMA, around the 0.9510-15 region, might trigger a short-covering move. This, in turn, should assist the pair to surpass an intermediate resistance near mid-0.9500s and aim towards reclaiming the 0.9600 round-figure mark.

USD/CHF 1-hourly chart

fxsoriginal

Technical levels to watch

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price0.95
Today Daily Change-0.0013
Today Daily Change %-0.14
Today daily open0.9513
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.9595
Daily SMA500.9658
Daily SMA1000.9667
Daily SMA2000.9763
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.9523
Previous Daily Low0.9464
Previous Weekly High0.9639
Previous Weekly Low0.9376
Previous Monthly High0.9784
Previous Monthly Low0.9589
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.9501
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.9486
Daily Pivot Point S10.9477
Daily Pivot Point S20.944
Daily Pivot Point S30.9417
Daily Pivot Point R10.9536
Daily Pivot Point R20.956
Daily Pivot Point R30.9596

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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