USD/CHF Price Analysis: On the defensive below 200-hour SMA, bearish bias remains


  • USD/CHF failed near 200-hour SMA and witnessed some intraday selling on Wednesday.
  • The set-up favours bearish traders and supports prospects for a further near-term slide.
  • Sustained weakness below the 0.9475-65 region needed to confirm the bearish outlook.

The USD/CHF pair struggled to capitalize on the overnight goodish intraday bounce of around 50 pips and witnessed a modest pullback on Wednesday. Bulls failed to lift the pair further beyond the 200-hour SMA stiff resistance, which should now act as a pivotal point for short-term traders.

Meanwhile, technical indicators on the daily chart maintained their bearish bias and have been struggling to gain any meaningful traction on hourly charts. The set-up seems firmly tilted in favour of bearish traders and supports prospects for an extension of the pair's near-term bearish trend.

That said, it will be prudent to wait for a convincing break below the 0.9475-65 horizontal zone before positioning for any further near-term depreciating move. The pair might then accelerate the fall further towards the 0.9400 mark en-route the recent swing lows, around the 0.9375 region.

Alternatively, a sustained strength beyond the 200-hour SMA, around the 0.9510-15 region, might trigger a short-covering move. This, in turn, should assist the pair to surpass an intermediate resistance near mid-0.9500s and aim towards reclaiming the 0.9600 round-figure mark.

USD/CHF 1-hourly chart

fxsoriginal

Technical levels to watch

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price 0.95
Today Daily Change -0.0013
Today Daily Change % -0.14
Today daily open 0.9513
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.9595
Daily SMA50 0.9658
Daily SMA100 0.9667
Daily SMA200 0.9763
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 0.9523
Previous Daily Low 0.9464
Previous Weekly High 0.9639
Previous Weekly Low 0.9376
Previous Monthly High 0.9784
Previous Monthly Low 0.9589
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.9501
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.9486
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.9477
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.944
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.9417
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.9536
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.956
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.9596

 

 

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