USD/CAD rebounds swiftly from two-week lows, back above mid-1.3000s

  • A combination of factors prompted some selling for the second consecutive session.
  • The intraday downfall found decent support ahead of the 1.3000 psychological mark.
  • Bullish oil prices undermined the loonie and might keep a lid on any strong move up.

The USD/CAD pair found decent support ahead of the key 1.3000 psychological mark and has now recovered around 50 pips from two-week lows.

The pair witnessed some heavy selling during the first half of the trading action on Tuesday and broke through the 1.3040 horizontal support. The intraday fall was sponsored by renewed US dollar selling since the early European session and bullish crude oil prices, which tend to underpin demand for the commodity-linked currency.

The greenback remained depressed on the back of growing speculations that the Fed will ease monetary policy further in December amid concerns about the economic fallout from the ever-increasing coronavirus cases. Adding to this, the optimism over a potential COVID-19 vaccine further dented the greenback's relative safe-haven status.

On the other hand, the Canadian dollar benefitted from the ongoing bullish run in crude oil prices. Prospects of an early rollout of vaccine for the highly contagious coronavirus disease revived hopes for a swift recovery in fuel demand. This, in turn, pushed WTI crude oil prices to three-month tops, around the $43.50-55 region.

Meanwhile, a modest uptick in the US Treasury bond yields helped limit any further losses for the greenback and assisted the USD/CAD pair to attract some dip-buying near the 1.3000 mark. That said, the attempted recovery lacked any strong follow-through and thus, warrants some caution before positioning for any further appreciating move.

Tuesday's US economic docket features the releases of the Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index and Richmond Manufacturing Index. The data might influence the USD, which, along with oil price dynamics will be looked upon for some short-term trading opportunities.

Technical levels to watch


Today last price 1.3058
Today Daily Change -0.0023
Today Daily Change % -0.18
Today daily open 1.3081
Daily SMA20 1.3133
Daily SMA50 1.3194
Daily SMA100 1.3252
Daily SMA200 1.3533
Previous Daily High 1.3112
Previous Daily Low 1.3046
Previous Weekly High 1.3142
Previous Weekly Low 1.3034
Previous Monthly High 1.339
Previous Monthly Low 1.3081
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.3071
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.3087
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.3047
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.3013
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.298
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.3114
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.3147
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.3181



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