US President Donald Trump vows Iran ‘will pay’ for US deaths

Lallalit Srijandorn FXStreet

US forces struck Iranian targets after US President Donald Trump vowed Tehran “will pay” for killing three American soldiers, Bloomberg reported on Monday.

US Central Command (CENTCOM) said that the US military began a new wave of strikes on Monday, the 10th straight day of attacks. “Every time Iran kills an American soldier, they will pay for that killing many times over!" said Trump.

At least two US soldiers were killed over the weekend in an Iranian attack on a US base in Jordan, and another is listed as missing in action. A third American service member died in Iraq after "a controlled detonation" of an Iranian drone.

Iranian Deputy Secretary of the Supreme National Security Council, Ali Bagheri, stated that the Strait of Hormuz is a critical leverage point for us. Iran won't show any leniency in this regard. Bagheri added that Washington has not taken action regarding the release of Iran's frozen assets, and they have violated their commitments.

Late Monday, the Iranian army said that it struck US missile systems at Kuwait’s Arifjan base with surface-to-surface missiles. A tanker in the Strait of Hormuz also reported that it was struck by an "unknown projectile" early Tuesday, according to the UK Maritime Trade Operations Centre. The incident was reported off the coast of Limah, Oman.

Yemen’s Iran-backed Houthi rebels on Monday announced a maritime embargo of Saudi Arabia. Houthi’s military spokesperson Yahya Saree said that the rebels “declare a maritime embargo against the criminal Saudi enemy, based on the equation of ‘an eye for an eye’ effective immediately upon the issuance of this statement.

Market reaction

At the time of writing, the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) is up 0.65% on the day at $82.35.

WTI Oil FAQs

What is WTI Oil?

WTI Oil is a type of Crude Oil sold on international markets. The WTI stands for West Texas Intermediate, one of three major types including Brent and Dubai Crude. WTI is also referred to as “light” and “sweet” because of its relatively low gravity and sulfur content respectively. It is considered a high quality Oil that is easily refined. It is sourced in the United States and distributed via the Cushing hub, which is considered “The Pipeline Crossroads of the World”. It is a benchmark for the Oil market and WTI price is frequently quoted in the media.

What factors drive the price of WTI Oil?

Like all assets, supply and demand are the key drivers of WTI Oil price. As such, global growth can be a driver of increased demand and vice versa for weak global growth. Political instability, wars, and sanctions can disrupt supply and impact prices. The decisions of OPEC, a group of major Oil-producing countries, is another key driver of price. The value of the US Dollar influences the price of WTI Crude Oil, since Oil is predominantly traded in US Dollars, thus a weaker US Dollar can make Oil more affordable and vice versa.

How does inventory data impact the price of WTI Oil

The weekly Oil inventory reports published by the American Petroleum Institute (API) and the Energy Information Agency (EIA) impact the price of WTI Oil. Changes in inventories reflect fluctuating supply and demand. If the data shows a drop in inventories it can indicate increased demand, pushing up Oil price. Higher inventories can reflect increased supply, pushing down prices. API’s report is published every Tuesday and EIA’s the day after. Their results are usually similar, falling within 1% of each other 75% of the time. The EIA data is considered more reliable, since it is a government agency.

How does OPEC influence the price of WTI Oil?

OPEC (Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries) is a group of 12 Oil-producing nations who collectively decide production quotas for member countries at twice-yearly meetings. Their decisions often impact WTI Oil prices. When OPEC decides to lower quotas, it can tighten supply, pushing up Oil prices. When OPEC increases production, it has the opposite effect. OPEC+ refers to an expanded group that includes ten extra non-OPEC members, the most notable of which is Russia.

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

FXStreet

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

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