|

US Dollar Index Price Forecast: Tests 50-day EMA support after breaking below 99.00

  • US Dollar Index may rebound toward the seven-month high of 99.57
  • The 14-day Relative Strength Index at 53 signals improving momentum.
  • The immediate support appears at the 50-day EMA of 98.70.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, is losing ground after four days of gains and trading around 98.80 during the European hours on Monday. The momentum indicator shows the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 53 (neutral) reflects improving momentum.

The US Dollar Index stands marginally above the nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and the 50-day EMA. The short-term average has turned higher while the 50-day EMA has flattened after a prior decline.

Holding above the rising nine-day EMA would keep the near-term bias supportive and lead the DXY to target the seven-month high of 99.57, recorded on December 2. Further resistance lies at the seven-month high of 100.26, which was recorded on August 1.

On the downside, the immediate support lies at the 50-day EMA of 98.70, aligned with the nine-day EMA at 98.66. Further declines would weaken the short- and medium-term price momentum and put downward pressure on the US Dollar Index to navigate the region around the 97.75, the lowest since October 25.

US Dollar Index: Daily Chart

US Dollar Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies today. US Dollar was the weakest against the Swiss Franc.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD-0.48%-0.39%-0.05%-0.27%-0.23%-0.39%-0.61%
EUR0.48%0.09%0.39%0.20%0.25%0.09%-0.13%
GBP0.39%-0.09%0.30%0.12%0.16%-0.00%-0.23%
JPY0.05%-0.39%-0.30%-0.19%-0.15%-0.31%-0.53%
CAD0.27%-0.20%-0.12%0.19%0.04%-0.12%-0.35%
AUD0.23%-0.25%-0.16%0.15%-0.04%-0.17%-0.39%
NZD0.39%-0.09%0.00%0.31%0.12%0.17%-0.22%
CHF0.61%0.13%0.23%0.53%0.35%0.39%0.22%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD drops below 1.3450 on USD rebound

GBP/USD trades in negative territory below 1.3450 in the European trading hours on Friday. Heightened Middle East tensions and rising global oil prices provide some support for the safe-haven US Dollar (USD), weighing on the pair. The US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index will be published later on Friday. 

EUR/USD retreats to 1.1500 after EU inflation data

EUR/USD corrects lower on Friday and trades near 1.1500 following a two-day rally that saw the pair gain more than 1%. While the risk-averse market atmosphere supports the US Dollar and weighs on the pair, the stronger-than-expected core HICP inflation reading from the Eurozone helps the Euro limit its losses.

Gold declines but stays above $4,000 as Iran risks revive USD demand

Gold comes under renewed bearish pressure following a two-day recovery and trades deep in the red below $4,100, as the US Dollar regains its traction. Escalating US-Iran tensions keep inflation risks and Fed rate hike bets in play, supporting the USD, while the technical setup seems tilted in favor of bearish traders and backs the case for further losses.

Bitcoin eyes 50-day EMA breakout, Ethereum consolidates, XRP steadies

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple trade near key technical levels on Friday as the broader cryptocurrency market pauses following last week's recovery. BTC is approaching the 50-day Exponential Moving Average while ETH continues to consolidate between two major EMAs.

Indian Rupee hits fresh two-week high against US Dollar

The Indian Rupee extends the week-long rally against the US Dollar on Friday. The USD/INR pair slides to a fresh over two-week low near 95.30 due to the overnight slump in the US Dollar amid growing doubts regarding whether the Federal Reserve is seriously committed to bringing the United States inflation down.

9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?
The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.