US Dollar Index Price Forecast: Remains near 107.00, lower descending channel boundary

The US Dollar Index (DXY) edges higher after registering losses in the previous two consecutive sessions, trading around 106.90 during the European hours on Monday. A review of the daily chart suggests a prevailing bearish bias as the index consolidates within the descending channel pattern.

However, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is positioned below the 50 level, indicating a strengthening bearish momentum. Furthermore, the US Dollar Index remains positioned below the nine- and 14-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), confirming the short-term price momentum is weaker.

On the downside, the DXY could approach the lower boundary of the descending channel at 106.30 level, followed by the psychological level of 106.00. A break below this level could reinforce the bearish bias and put downward pressure on the index to test the three-month low at 105.41, which was recorded on December 6.

Regarding resistance, the DXY could find its primary resistance at nine-day EMA at 107.47, followed by 107.66. A decisive break above these levels would improve the short-term price momentum and support the pair to explore the region around the descending channel’s upper boundary at 109.50 level, followed by the five-week high of 109.80, last tested on February 3.

US Dollar Index: Daily Chart