|

US Dollar Index Price Forecast: Hovers around 103.50 support close to four-month lows

  • The US Dollar Index may test its primary support at the four-month low of 103.34.
  • The 14-day RSI hovers around 30, indicating oversold conditions and the potential for an upward correction.
  • The immediate resistance appears at the nine-day EMA of 104.15.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the US Dollar's (USD) performance against six major currencies, remains under pressure for the second straight session, hovering around 103.70 during Monday's European trading hours. Technical analysis of the daily chart suggests a continued bearish outlook, as the index trends lower within a descending channel.

The US Dollar Index is trading below the nine- and 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), signaling a weakening short- and medium-term trend. However, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovers around the 30 mark, indicating oversold conditions and the possibility of a rebound.

On the downside, the US Dollar Index could test its key support at the four-month low of 103.34, recorded on November 6, followed by the descending channel's lower boundary at 102.70. A decisive break below this level may strengthen the bearish outlook, potentially driving the index toward the five-month low of 100.68.

The DXY faces immediate resistance at the nine-day EMA at 104.15. A breakout above this level could boost short-term momentum, driving the index toward the 50-day EMA at 106.24, with further upside potential toward the descending channel's upper boundary at 106.60.

US Dollar Index: Daily Chart

US Dollar PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies today. US Dollar was the weakest against the New Zealand Dollar.

 USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD -0.03%-0.04%0.06%-0.12%-0.12%-0.45%-0.13%
EUR0.03% -0.13%-0.32%-0.09%-0.23%-0.43%-0.14%
GBP0.04%0.13% 0.13%-0.18%-0.11%-0.32%-0.08%
JPY-0.06%0.32%-0.13% -0.17%-0.38%-0.44%-0.31%
CAD0.12%0.09%0.18%0.17% -0.21%-0.33%-0.57%
AUD0.12%0.23%0.11%0.38%0.21% -0.18%0.10%
NZD0.45%0.43%0.32%0.44%0.33%0.18% 0.29%
CHF0.13%0.14%0.08%0.31%0.57%-0.10%-0.29% 

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD rebounds after falling toward 1.1700

EUR/USD gains traction and trades above 1.1730 in the American session, looking to end the week virtually unchanged. The bullish opening in Wall Street makes it difficult for the US Dollar to preserve its recovery momentum and helps the pair rebound heading into the weekend.

GBP/USD steadies below 1.3400 as traders assess BoE policy outlook

Following Thursday's volatile session, GBP/USD moves sideways below 1.3400 on Friday. Investors reassess the Bank of England's policy oıtlook after the MPC decided to cut the interest rate by 25 bps by a slim margin. Meanwhile, the improving risk mood helps the pair hold its ground.

Gold stays below $4,350, looks to post small weekly gains

Gold struggles to gather recovery momentum and stays below $4,350 in the second half of the day on Friday, as the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield edges higher. Nevertheless, the precious metal remains on track to end the week with modest gains as markets gear up for the holiday season.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid bearish market conditions

Bitcoin (BTC) is edging higher, trading above $88,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP), are following in BTC’s footsteps, experiencing relief rebounds following a volatile week.

How much can one month of soft inflation change the Fed’s mind?

One month of softer inflation data is rarely enough to shift Federal Reserve policy on its own, but in a market highly sensitive to every data point, even a single reading can reshape expectations. November’s inflation report offered a welcome sign of cooling price pressures. 

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.