|

US Dollar Index Price Forecast: Hovers around 103.50 support close to four-month lows

  • The US Dollar Index may test its primary support at the four-month low of 103.34.
  • The 14-day RSI hovers around 30, indicating oversold conditions and the potential for an upward correction.
  • The immediate resistance appears at the nine-day EMA of 104.15.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the US Dollar's (USD) performance against six major currencies, remains under pressure for the second straight session, hovering around 103.70 during Monday's European trading hours. Technical analysis of the daily chart suggests a continued bearish outlook, as the index trends lower within a descending channel.

The US Dollar Index is trading below the nine- and 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), signaling a weakening short- and medium-term trend. However, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovers around the 30 mark, indicating oversold conditions and the possibility of a rebound.

On the downside, the US Dollar Index could test its key support at the four-month low of 103.34, recorded on November 6, followed by the descending channel's lower boundary at 102.70. A decisive break below this level may strengthen the bearish outlook, potentially driving the index toward the five-month low of 100.68.

The DXY faces immediate resistance at the nine-day EMA at 104.15. A breakout above this level could boost short-term momentum, driving the index toward the 50-day EMA at 106.24, with further upside potential toward the descending channel's upper boundary at 106.60.

US Dollar Index: Daily Chart

US Dollar PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies today. US Dollar was the weakest against the New Zealand Dollar.

 USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD -0.03%-0.04%0.06%-0.12%-0.12%-0.45%-0.13%
EUR0.03% -0.13%-0.32%-0.09%-0.23%-0.43%-0.14%
GBP0.04%0.13% 0.13%-0.18%-0.11%-0.32%-0.08%
JPY-0.06%0.32%-0.13% -0.17%-0.38%-0.44%-0.31%
CAD0.12%0.09%0.18%0.17% -0.21%-0.33%-0.57%
AUD0.12%0.23%0.11%0.38%0.21% -0.18%0.10%
NZD0.45%0.43%0.32%0.44%0.33%0.18% 0.29%
CHF0.13%0.14%0.08%0.31%0.57%-0.10%-0.29% 

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.