|

US dollar: Further upside still in play - HSBC

In its latest client note, HSBC Holdings' strategists David Bloom and Paul Mackel offered their outlook on US dollar and how it could impact the other currencies going forward.

Key Quotes:

“Mismatch between US rate differentials and a weaker USD is starting to reverse.

Fed looks like to be able to match its dot plots.

Other central banks in G-10 face challenges to begin or extend the tightening process.

Expects EUR/USD to fall to 1.15 in Q4 (previously saw 1.25).

Cites combination of delays by ECB to the gradual exit process.

And also an expectation that the US cyclical story will gain more traction.

Sees USD/CNY at 6.40 by Q4 (previously saw 6.20).

The upward revision is to factor in China's narrowing interest advantage against the US.”

Author

FXStreet Team

Composed of a group of economic journalists and FX experts, the FXStreet content team produces and oversees all content published on FXStreet. It provides a purely journalistic approach to the Forex market.

More from FXStreet Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD holds above 1.3350 with the 200-day SMA capping gains

The British Pound appreciates against the US Dollar on Tuesday to trim previous losses and return to the 1.3375 area, aiming to retest resistance at the key 200-day Simple Moving Average. This is a popular indicator, which lies a few pips below 1.3400 and has been capping Pound’s recovery over the last two weeks.

EUR/USD holds gains near 1.1400 ahead of US CPI

EUR/USD extends gains and retakes 1.1400 in the European session on Tuesday. The US Dollar sees a profit-taking pullback, supporting the pair's rebound. However, the potential upside for the pair might be limited amid renewed US military strikes against Iran and ahead of the US CPI data and Fed Chair Warsh's testimony.

Gold sticks to gains above $4,000 ahead of US CPI, Fed's Warsh

Gold trims a part of its modest intraday recovery gains and remains within striking distance of a nearly two-week low touched earlier this Tuesday. The commodity, however, sticks to a positive bias above the $4,000 psychological mark through the first half of the European session amid mixed cues.

Major Altcoins: XRP, ADA and SOL remain vulnerable as bearish grip tightens

Major altcoins in the crypto market, such as Ripple, Cardano, and Solana, are trading in the red on Tuesday, extending their 2% to 3% decline from the previous day. The technical outlook for XRP, ADA, and SOL shows a near-term bearish bias, with prices trending below their respective 50-day EMAs.

US CPI data set to show inflation cooled in June due to tumbling fuel prices

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish the June Consumer Price Index data on Tuesday. The report is expected to show a decline in consumer inflation, driven by the easing of crude Oil prices following the ceasefire announcement between the United States and Iran.

Five sessions, one round trip: Why the whipsaw is exactly what Warsh ordered

Markets opened July with a December hike as the base case and spent five trading sessions unlearning and relearning it. A 57K payrolls print bled the tightening bets out of the strip; a re-shut Strait of Hormuz is pushing them back in. Wednesday's minutes from the June FOMC meeting landed mid-round-trip, describing a world that had already stopped existing.