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Tesla breaks lower as Alphabet tests major support

Tesla and Alphabet are both opening sharply lower after earnings, but the reasons behind the moves are different. Tesla’s problem is weak profit conversion and rising spending, while Alphabet’s results were strong enough to suggest the current sell-off may eventually attract buyers.

Tesla: Breakdown points to further downside

TSLA

Tesla delivered strong vehicle volumes, but the higher sales failed to translate into stronger earnings. Revenue rose 26%, yet operating income fell 57% and operating margin dropped to just 1.4%. At the same time, capital expenditure more than doubled as Tesla continued to invest heavily in robotaxis, Optimus, AI infrastructure and new manufacturing capacity.

Technically, the stock has now broken below its anchored VWAP near $370, removing an important area of dynamic support. Price is also trading beneath the centre of the broader descending channel, suggesting sellers remain in control.

The immediate area to watch is around $345–350, close to the 50% Fibonacci retracement. A sustained break beneath this zone could open the way towards $320, around the 61.8% retracement, before the lower boundary of the descending channel comes into view closer to $280–300.

Any rebound back towards the anchored VWAP may now be treated as resistance unless Tesla can reclaim and hold above $370.

Alphabet: Strong results may support a rebound

GOOGL

Alphabet’s operating results were much stronger. Revenue increased 24%, while Google Cloud revenue accelerated 82% to $24.8 billion. The market’s concern is not current demand, but the scale of future AI investment and its impact on free cash flow.

The gap lower has pushed Alphabet into a key technical area around $323–327, where the lower boundary of the longer-term ascending channel meets the lower edge of the shorter-term descending channel.

This overlap could provide support, particularly because the earnings weakness is driven by investment concerns rather than deterioration in the underlying business.

A rebound would initially place focus on the anchored VWAP around $346. If price can recover above that level, the next resistance sits around $358–363. Failure to hold the current channel intersection, however, could expose the $300–305 region.

For now, Tesla’s structure remains more clearly bearish, while Alphabet is approaching an area where buyers may begin testing whether the earnings gap has gone too far.

Author

Zorrays Junaid

Zorrays Junaid

Alchemy Markets

Zorrays Junaid has extensive combined experience in the financial markets as a portfolio manager and trading coach. More recently, he is an Analyst with Alchemy Markets, and has contributed to DailyFX and Elliott Wave Forecast in the past.

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