|

Swiss Franc trims losses against US Dollar amid Japanese intervention concerns

  • USD/CHF gives up part of its early advance as the Greenback struggles to hold its recovery.
  • Suspected Japanese intervention and the possibility of US action keep the US Dollar under pressure.
  • Traders await Swiss inflation data due on Monday.

USD/CHF trims part of its earlier gains on Friday as the US Dollar (USD) struggles to regain momentum following Thursday’s sharp sell-off, which was driven by suspected intervention by Japanese authorities to curb excessive weakness in the Japanese Yen (JPY).

At the time of writing, the pair trades around 0.8086 after reaching an intraday high of 0.8128. USD/CHF is still up around 0.45% on the day but is heading for a weekly loss.

The Greenback initially attempted to recover from six-week lows before losing strength after Reuters reported that the US Treasury had informed several banks it may intervene in the Yen market on Friday and advised them to “stand ready for future action.”

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback’s value against a basket of six major currencies, trades around 100.07, easing from an intraday high of 100.45.

Strategists at Brown Brothers Harriman argue that “the USD rally from May has run its course, with DXY poised to retreat into a 96.00-100.00 range.” They note that the earlier “tailwind to USD from resilient US economic activity” is now being overshadowed by concerns that Fed Chair Kevin Warsh has “fail[ed] to turn tough inflation rhetoric into a credible policy,” thereby “increasing the risk the Fed falls behind the curve in containing inflation.”

On Wednesday, the Fed left interest rates unchanged within the 3.50%-3.75% range for a fifth consecutive meeting, with three policymakers backing an immediate 25-basis-point (bps) hike.

One of the dissenters, Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan, said on Friday, “I would have preferred a quarter-point rate increase to better balance the outlook and risks.” She added that “modest Fed action in the near term would reduce the likelihood of needing sharper action later.”

Traders still see a meaningful chance that the Fed will raise interest rates later this year. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, markets are pricing in around a 65% probability of a hike in September.

On the Swiss side, traders await July Consumer Price Index (CPI) data on Monday. Annual inflation eased to 0.5% in June from 0.6% in May, remaining near the lower end of the SNB's price-stability range and reinforcing expectations that the central bank will keep its policy rate at 0%.

Swiss Franc Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Swiss Franc (CHF) against listed major currencies today. Swiss Franc was the strongest against the Euro.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD0.17%-0.01%-0.18%0.10%0.04%0.05%0.44%
EUR-0.17%-0.19%-0.35%-0.07%-0.13%-0.13%0.27%
GBP0.00%0.19%-0.19%0.12%0.05%0.05%0.46%
JPY0.18%0.35%0.19%0.32%0.25%0.26%0.66%
CAD-0.10%0.07%-0.12%-0.32%-0.06%-0.05%0.34%
AUD-0.04%0.13%-0.05%-0.25%0.06%-0.00%0.39%
NZD-0.05%0.13%-0.05%-0.26%0.05%0.00%0.40%
CHF-0.44%-0.27%-0.46%-0.66%-0.34%-0.39%-0.40%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Swiss Franc from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent CHF (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Vishal Chaturvedi

I am a macro-focused research analyst with over four years of experience covering forex and commodities market. I enjoy breaking down complex economic trends and turning them into clear, actionable insights that help traders stay ahead of the curve.

More from Vishal Chaturvedi
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD flirts with tops near 1.3470

GBP/USD manages to regain composure and challenge the area of daily highs around 1.3470 on Friday. Cable picks up pace despite marginal gains in the Greenback in a context of swelling geopolitical tensions and rising global oil prices.

EUR/USD trims losses, back above 1.1500

EUR/USD picks up some pace and bouces off earlier lows, reclaiming the 1.1500 threshold and beyond at the end of the week. The pair’s modest pullback follows a persistent risk-averse market mood and renewed buying interest for the US Dollar.

Gold: The $4,000 mark holds the downside for now

Gold faces renewed selling pressure, falling sharply toweard the $4,000 mark per troy ounce as the US Dollar regains momentum. Escalating US-Iran tensions are keeping inflation concerns and expectations of further Fed rate hikes alive, weighing further on the yellow metal.

Bitcoin eyes 50-day EMA breakout, Ethereum consolidates, XRP steadies

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple trade near key technical levels on Friday as the broader cryptocurrency market pauses following last week's recovery. BTC is approaching the 50-day Exponential Moving Average while ETH continues to consolidate between two major EMAs.

Warsh needs to restore his reputation
We were glad to see our deeply negative reaction to the Warsh press conference was not some personal peculiarity. Just about everybody in the financial press felt the same way. The consensus is building it’s not the Fed in the dog-house but only Warsh. Today the WSJ changed it tune and blasted Warsh—"the honeymoon is already over..”
9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?
The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.