|

SPX pullback targets 7193–6953 before another bounce [Video]

The S&P 500 (SPX) is currently correcting the strong advance from the 6317 low to the 7620 peak in wave 2. Based on the current Elliott Wave structure, the index appears to be forming a flat correction. Sub-waves ((a)) and ((b)) look complete, and SPX is now progressing lower in the final five-wave decline of wave ((c)). We expect wave ((c)) to extend toward the 7193–6953 area. This zone represents the 100%–161.8% Fibonacci extension of wave ((a)) and could provide an area for the correction to find support and trigger another bounce.

The structure still allows for the possibility of a deeper decline. However, as long as SPX remains above the 6317 low, we expect the pullback to eventually find support. The correction could complete in 3, 7, or 11 swings, depending on how the structure develops.

SPX 60 min, Elliott Wave counts

Chart

In the short term, the index remains vulnerable to further downside. Over the next 24 hours, we expect SPX to continue lower while staying below the 7579 invalidation level. The decline may include short-term corrective bounces along the way as wave ((c)) unfolds.

Once the correction completes, the broader bullish structure can resume, provided SPX holds above 6317. Therefore, the 7193–6953 region remains an important area to monitor for signs of support and a potential turn higher.

Youtube preview

Author

Elliott Wave Forecast Team

Elliott Wave Forecast Team

ElliottWave-Forecast.com

More from Elliott Wave Forecast Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD holds below 1.3400 after BoE decision, US Q2 GDP

GBP/USD peaked just above 1.3400 following the BoE's announcement. The Bank of England decided to maintain the benchmark rate unchanged at 3.75%. The MPC voted 6-3 to keep rates on hold, with the 3 dissenters favoring a rate hike. US Q2 GDP missing expectations helps maintain the pair afloat, although momentum is missing.

EUR/USD resumes advance following tepid US growth data

EUR/USD trimmed early losses and aims north in the American session on Thursday, helped by better-than-expected German and Eurozone GDP data and lower-than-anticipated US growth, according to the preliminary estimate of Q2 Gross Domestic Product. The economy expanded at an annual rate of 1.5% vs the 2.1% anticipated by market participants.

Gold stable below $4,100 as USD demand fades

Gold hovers around its daily open in the American session on Thursday, trimming early losses. The Greenback enjoyed some near-term demand following Wednesday's post-FOMC downfall, but was unable to retain its gains. The preliminary estimate of the US Q2 GDP showed the economy grew n annual rate of 1.5%, missing market's expectations of 2.1%

BoE Press Conference: Governor Bailey comments on policy outlook after July hold

Bank of England (BoE) Governor Andrew Bailey explains the decision to maintain the bank rate at 3.75% in a 6-3 vote split following the July monetary policy meeting and responds to questions from the press. Follow here the press conference.

US GDP expected to grow at 2.1% in Q2, unshaken by  Iran conflict
The United States (US) Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) is set to publish its preliminary estimate of second-quarter Gross Domestic Product (GDP) on Thursday, with analysts expecting the data to show annualised growth at a solid 2.1%, a modest cooling from the 2.1% expansion recorded in the previous quarter.
US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.