|

S&P 500: Modest gains with Iran-linked relief – Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank’s Jim Reid notes that improved sentiment around a potential Iran deal helped the S&P 500 recover earlier losses and close slightly higher. The index is less than 1% below its record high and on track for an eighth straight weekly gain, led by defensive sectors and blue-chip names, while some tech and consumer names underperformed on earnings news.

Index nears record as risk mood improves

"The tentative optimism meant 10yr Treasuries (-1.4bps) and the S&P 500 (+0.17%) posted modest gains, with equity futures and Asian markets also moving higher this morning."

"For equities, improved optimism on Iran meant that US stocks erased initial declines, with the S&P 500 (+0.17%) advancing despite trading in the red for most of the session.This leaves the index just -0.74% below its all-time high and on track to post an eighth consecutive weekly gain, which would be the longest such run since 2023."

"Defensive sectors and blue-chip names led the advance, bringing the Dow Jones (+0.55%) to a new record high. Tech stocks were broadly stable, with the Nasdaq (+0.09%) and the Magnificent 7 (+0.03%) little changed, though Nvidia (-1.77%) fell after its results the previous evening."

"By contrast, IBM (+12.43%) surged on news that the US administration agreed to award the company $1bn to build a foundry for producing quantum computing chips. Meanwhile, Intuit (-20.02%) and Walmart (-7.27%) were two of the three biggest decliners in the S&P after soft earnings releases."

"A positive mood has mostly continued in Asian markets overnight with the Nikkei (+2.29%) leading the way. Most other main markets are up around half a percent. S&P (+0.26%) and Nasdaq (+0.38%) futures are also higher alongside European Stoxx (+0.82%) futures."

"This follows a less positive session in Europe yesterday, with several indices losing ground, including Germany’s DAX (-0.53%) and France’s CAC 40 (-0.39%). However, the STOXX 600 (+0.04%) eked out a fourth consecutive gain, supported by equity strength in other countries, including the UK and Switzerland."

(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor.)

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD bulls regain control above 0.6950 amid USD retreat

AUD/USD regains traction and extends the previous day's bounce from the weekly low, aiming for 0.7000 in Asia on Friday. The overnight pullback in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar below an 18-month high, which in turn offers some support to the pair. Meanwhile, hawkish RBA expectations also keep the major underpinned.

USD/JPY holds gains near 158.00 after Japan's weak Household Spending data

USD/JPY clings to gains around 158.00 after data showed on Friday that Japan's Household Spending fell for the ninth straight month, undermining the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, the US Dollar remains depressed as the overnight fall in US bond yields counters a hawkish Fed and geopolitical uncertainties, could cap any downside in the pair.

Gold remains range-bound below $4,200

Gold has given up some ground after an initial bullish attempt to reach weekly highs, returning to below the $4,200 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The US Dollar’s strong upside momentum, combined with rising US Treasury yields across the curve, seems to keep further gains in the yellow metal under scrutiny.

Has Bitcoin really escaped the macro forces it was built to fight?
Over 17 years ago, Satoshi Nakamoto designed Bitcoin (BTC) on the back of a global financial crisis as an alternative to the global monetary system outside the control of central banks, governments and traditional intermediaries. This raises a key question: has Bitcoin really become independent of the macroeconomic forces it was built to challenge?
The Euro is not the sick man of Europe. France's bond market is
EUR/USD remains under pressure, near the 17-month low of 1.1161 reached on Monday. The pair has lost more than 7% since its yearly peak, as concerns over France's public finances increasingly weigh on the single currency. But behind the weakness of the Euro (EUR), the problem does not necessarily lie with the European economy as a whole.
Has Bitcoin really escaped the macro forces it was built to fight?
Over 17 years ago, Satoshi Nakamoto designed Bitcoin (BTC) on the back of a global financial crisis as an alternative to the global monetary system outside the control of central banks, governments and traditional intermediaries. This raises a key question: has Bitcoin really become independent of the macroeconomic forces it was built to challenge?