Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD sticks to gains near mid-$66.00s; 23.6% Fibo. holds the key

Silver regains positive traction, though it remains confined in the previous day’s broader range.
The mixed technical setup warrants some caution before positioning for any further move up.
A break above the 23.6% Fibo. hurdle is needed to back the case for additional near-term gains.

Haresh Menghani FXStreet

Silver (XAG/USD) attracts fresh buyers following the previous day's two-way price moves and trades around the $66.40-$66.45 region during the Asian session on Tuesday, up nearly 0.50% for the day. The white metal, however, remains below last week's swing high, around the $67.25-$67.30 region, warranting caution for aggressive bullish traders.

The said area represents the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the July-August rally and should act as a key pivotal point. The white metal currently sits just above the 100-day simple moving average (SMA) at $66.32, holding a mildly bullish near-term bias. Moreover, the cluster of Fibonacci retracements below—most notably the 38.2% level at $64.87 and the 50% line at $62.93 — suggests a layered demand zone underpinning the recent advance.

Adding to this, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) around 54 reinforces a balanced but constructive tone, indicating the metal is neither overbought nor oversold while it consolidates above its key trend marker. However, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator remains slightly negative and hints at waning upside. Hence, a sustained break above $67.27 would be needed to open the way for a retest of the higher zone.

The white metal might then climb to a more substantial barrier at the prior cycle anchor near $71.14. That said, a failure to clear this cap would keep XAG/USD confined to a range supported by the underlying Fibonacci and moving average structure. Meanwhile, immediate support is located at the 100-day SMA at $66.32, with secondary levels emerging at the 38.2% Fibo. retracement at $64.87 and the 50% retracement at $62.93 should corrective pressure deepen.

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool. Know more.)

XAG/USD daily chart

Silver FAQs

Why do people invest in Silver?

Silver is a precious metal highly traded among investors. It has been historically used as a store of value and a medium of exchange. Although less popular than Gold, traders may turn to Silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during high-inflation periods. Investors can buy physical Silver, in coins or in bars, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets.

Which factors influence Silver prices?

Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can make Silver price escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than Gold's. As a yieldless asset, Silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its moves also depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Silver at bay, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to propel prices up. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply – Silver is much more abundant than Gold – and recycling rates can also affect prices.

How does industrial demand affect Silver prices?

Silver is widely used in industry, particularly in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, as it has one of the highest electric conductivity of all metals – more than Copper and Gold. A surge in demand can increase prices, while a decline tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies can also contribute to price swings: for the US and particularly China, their big industrial sectors use Silver in various processes; in India, consumers’ demand for the precious metal for jewellery also plays a key role in setting prices.

How do Silver prices react to Gold’s moves?

Silver prices tend to follow Gold's moves. When Gold prices rise, Silver typically follows suit, as their status as safe-haven assets is similar. The Gold/Silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of Silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of Gold, may help to determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may consider a high ratio as an indicator that Silver is undervalued, or Gold is overvalued. On the contrary, a low ratio might suggest that Gold is undervalued relative to Silver.

Author

Haresh Menghani

FXStreet

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

AUD/USD remains confined in a range above 0.7100

AUD/USD extends its consolidative price move above 0.7100 through the Asian session on Tuesday, shrugging off hawkish comments from RBA Assistant Governor Sarah Hunter as traders keenly await the crucial Trump-Xi summit later this week. Meanwhile, escalating tensions in the Middle East and the Fed's hawkish outlook remain supportive of the bullish US Dollar undertone, capping spot prices.

USD/JPY bulls seem cautious below 157.50 as JPY intervention risks loom

USD/JPY consolidates below mid-157.00s during the Asian session on Tuesday as intervention fears help limit losses for the Japanese Yen. However, the BoJ's dovish rate hike to a 31-year high keeps JPY bulls on the back foot. At the same time, the US Dollar retains its bullish undertone amid the Fed's hawkish outlook and escalating Middle East tensions, acting as a tailwind for the pair.

Gold benefits from falling US bond yields; remains below $4,400 amid bullish USD

Gold regains positive traction during the Asian session on Tuesday, though it lacks bullish conviction and remains below $4,400. Falling oil prices ease inflation fears, dragging US bond yields lower and supporting the non-yielding yellow metal. Meanwhile, the Fed's hawkish stance, along with escalating Middle East tensions, keeps the US Dollar near its highest level since late July and acts as a headwind for the bullion.

Ethereum rallies above $2,700 as investors shrug off bearish sentiment

Ethereum (ETH) climbed above $2,700 on Monday after investors defended the realized price level despite negative sentiment over the Clarity Act's failure and the Federal Reserve rate hike. After the Clarity Act failed to advance in the Senate, ETH dipped below $2,400 last week. But right below that price is the top altcoin's realized price, or average on-chain cost basis, at $2,310.

The week ahead: Fuel prices in focus as we lead up to key eco releases

Financial markets are in a strange position as we move to the final weeks of Q3, uncertainty and volatility continue to grip markets, but the oil price is falling; and European and US stocks are poised to open higher later on Monday. Market stresses are concentrated in sovereign bonds, and European and US yields had another scare late on Friday, and moved higher.

BoJ Recap: Not as hawkish as expected

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) raised its short-term interest-rate target to 1.25% from 1.00% in a 7-2 vote, marking another step in the normalisation of monetary policy and widely matching what everyone has been expecting for weeks.