Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD advances to near $32.50 after rebounding from nine-day EMA
- Silver price gains ground as the daily chart analysis suggests a persistent bullish bias.
- The pair may find its primary resistance around the upper boundary of the ascending channel at the $33.10 level.
- The initial support appears at the nine-day EMA of $32.08.
Silver price (XAG/USD) recovers its recent losses registered in the previous session, trading near $32.40 per troy ounce during Monday's Asian session. A daily chart analysis suggests a continued bullish trend, as the metal price moves upward within an ascending channel.
The XAG/USD pair continues to trade above the nine-day and 14-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), indicating robust short-term momentum. Moreover, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains above the 50 level, reinforcing the overall bullish outlook.
Silver price may face initial resistance near the upper boundary of the ascending channel at the $33.10 level, followed by the four-month high of $33.40, which was reached on February 14.
On the downside, support is located at the nine-day EMA around $32.08, followed by the 14-day EMA at $31.85, and the lower boundary of the ascending channel at $31.60. A break below this critical support zone could undermine the bullish outlook, potentially exposing the XAG/USD pair to further declines toward its five-month low of $28.74, which was recorded on December 19.
XAG/USD: Daily Chart
Silver FAQs
Silver is a precious metal highly traded among investors. It has been historically used as a store of value and a medium of exchange. Although less popular than Gold, traders may turn to Silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during high-inflation periods. Investors can buy physical Silver, in coins or in bars, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets.
Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can make Silver price escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than Gold's. As a yieldless asset, Silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its moves also depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Silver at bay, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to propel prices up. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply – Silver is much more abundant than Gold – and recycling rates can also affect prices.
Silver is widely used in industry, particularly in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, as it has one of the highest electric conductivity of all metals – more than Copper and Gold. A surge in demand can increase prices, while a decline tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies can also contribute to price swings: for the US and particularly China, their big industrial sectors use Silver in various processes; in India, consumers’ demand for the precious metal for jewellery also plays a key role in setting prices.
Silver prices tend to follow Gold's moves. When Gold prices rise, Silver typically follows suit, as their status as safe-haven assets is similar. The Gold/Silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of Silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of Gold, may help to determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may consider a high ratio as an indicator that Silver is undervalued, or Gold is overvalued. On the contrary, a low ratio might suggest that Gold is undervalued relative to Silver.
Author
Akhtar Faruqui
FXStreet
Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.
