|

Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD challenges 200-period SMA/50% Fibo. confluence hurdle

  • Silver attracted some dip-buying on Thursday and turned positive for the second straight day.
  • The set-up seems tilted in favour of bullish traders and supports prospects for additional gains.
  • A sustained break below the $22.25-20 support is needed to negate the constructive outlook.

Silver reversed an intraday dip to the $22.90 area and inched back closer to near one-month tops touched in the previous day. The white metal was last seen trading near the $23.20 region, up around 0.40% for the day.

The mentioned are marks a confluence hurdle comprising of 200-period SMA on the 4-hour chart and the 50% Fibonacci level of the $24.87-$21.42 downfall. A sustained move beyond will be seen as a fresh trigger for bullish traders and set the stage for a further near-term appreciating move.

Meanwhile, technical indicators on hourly charts maintained their bullish bias and have just started gaining positive traction on the daily chart. The set-up seems tilted firmly in favour of bullish traders and supports prospects for an eventual break through the mentioned confluence barrier.

The XAG/USD might then accelerate the momentum towards the 61.8% Fibo. level, around the $23.55-60 area, before aiming to reclaim the $24.00 mark. Some follow-through buying beyond the $24.25-30 region would expose September monthly swing highs resistance near the $24.75-80 zone.

On the flip side, any meaningful slide below the $23.00 round figure might be seen as a buying opportunity and remain limited near the 38.2% Fibo. level, around the $22.75 region. That said, sustained weakness below might accelerate the slide back towards the $22.25-20 static support.

The latter coincides with the 23.6% Fibo. level, which if broken decisively will shift the bias back in favour of bearish traders. The XAG/USD might then turn vulnerable to break below the $22.00 mark and slide further towards challenging YTD lows, around the $21.45-40 region.

Silver 4-hour chart

fxsoriginal

Technical levels to watch

XAG/USD

Overview
Today last price23.16
Today Daily Change0.06
Today Daily Change %0.26
Today daily open23.1
 
Trends
Daily SMA2022.52
Daily SMA5023.33
Daily SMA10024.84
Daily SMA20025.57
 
Levels
Previous Daily High23.25
Previous Daily Low22.47
Previous Weekly High23.19
Previous Weekly Low22.21
Previous Monthly High24.87
Previous Monthly Low21.42
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%22.95
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%22.76
Daily Pivot Point S122.63
Daily Pivot Point S222.16
Daily Pivot Point S321.85
Daily Pivot Point R123.41
Daily Pivot Point R223.72
Daily Pivot Point R324.19

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD eyes 0.7150 barrier nine-day EMA

AUD/USD inches higher after registering modest losses in the previous day, trading around 0.7130 during the Asian hours. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates that the pair is moving sideways within the rectangle pattern, suggesting a consolidation as neither the bulls nor the bears have enough momentum to take control of the market.

USD/JPY trades below 160.00 intervention threshold; bullish bias intact

The USD/JPY pair attracts some sellers during the Asian session amid fears that authorities will step in again to prop up the Japanese Yen. Furthermore, the Israel-Lebanon truce prompts some profit-taking around the US Dollar and exerts downward pressure on the currency pair.

Gold defends 200-day SMA at $4,425, but for how long?

Gold is attempting a tepid recovery toward $4,500 early Thursday, as renewed optimism in the Mideast geopolitical front calms market nerves. This cautious optimism across Asian markets weighs on Oil prices, and diminishes the US Dollar’s safe-haven appeal, helping Gold stage a decent comeback from the weekly low of $4,424.

 

Hyperliquid: ETF demand, capital rotation fuel HYPE rally as Bitcoin melts

Hyperliquid price sustains an upward trend near its all-time high of $75.76 on Thursday after posting 80% gains in May, while Bitcoin (BTC) retraces below $65,000, triggering a market-wide panic.

Kevin Warsh takes the Fed helm: What it means for the US Dollar
The Federal Reserve moves away from the highly predictable "forward guidance" model of the Jerome Powell era to a new “Kevin Warsh environment”, characterized by less communication, more policy surprises, and an increased focus on the Fed's complex balance sheet.
Recession on paper: What really moves the Canadian Loonie now?

Statistics Canada handed the headline writers a gift and the analysts a headache. Real GDP shrank 0.1% on an annualized basis in the first quarter, and with the fourth quarter of 2025 revised down to a 1.0% contraction, that is two negative quarters in a row, the textbook definition of a technical recession and Canada's first since the pandemic.