|

SEK and NOK to hit new lows – Danske Bank

Weaker growth prospects have weighed on the Swedish krona and the Norwegian krone. Economists at Danske Bank expect EUR/SEK to move higher over the coming months to 11.20 while EUR/NOK is set to rise over the next three months.

More weakness in store for scandies

“We stick to our negative view on the SEK, which is underpinned by the gloomy global growth outlook, associated negative outlook for global and Swedish equities alike and relative monetary policy. In addition, more frontloading of rate hikes will exacerbate the downturn in the Swedish housing market, a headwind for the krona.” 

“We look for weaker SEK in the 6-12M perspective, forecasting 11.20 in 12M.”

“We still think EUR/NOK is heading higher over the coming 3-6M driven by a slowdown in growth, a European recession, volatile asset markets and further spread tightening in the short-end of rates curves.”

“We forecast EUR/NOK at 10.70 in 3M.”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates near 0.7000 as USD stays weak

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7000 during Thursday’s Asian session, consolidating the previous day’s recovery gains from a near three-week low as the Democratic sweep in the US midterm elections and Iran diplomacy hopes continue to weigh on the US Dollar. Bulls, however, seem hesitant as focus shifts to Friday’s crucial US NFP report.

USD/JPY drifts lower to 158.25 on hawkish BoJ Minutes, weak USD

USD/JPY trades with a negative bias for the second straight day on Thursday as hawkish BoJ Minutes, showing members agreed to keep raising rates, and intervention risks support the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, US midterm election results and hopes for Iran diplomacy keep the US Dollar depressed as focus shifts to Friday’s US NFP report.

Gold eases from two-week top; holds comfortably above $4,100

Gold retreats slightly from a two-week high touched during Thursday’s Asian session, albeit it clings to gains for the second straight day and currently trades around $4,130. The US Dollar extends the fallout from US election results, dropping to a fresh low since late September and assisting the commodity in building on the previous day's strong rally of over 3.5% – its biggest single-day rise since mid-August.

TRUMP token hits record low amid mounting selling pressure

Ripple and Stellar extend their recovery as bearish pressure begins to ease for both altcoins. XRP trades above $1.30 after breaking above the upper trendline of a falling channel pattern, while XLM holds above $0.168 and approaches resistance at $0.173. Meanwhile, improving derivatives metrics and strengthening momentum indicators hint at a potential for further recovery.

US midterms 2026: Investor Q&A on the Democratic sweep
1. Gridlock replaces the stimulus narrative. A Democratic Congress would constrain Trump's ability to pursue additional fiscal expansion and legislative tax measures. But it cannot simply reverse the president's entire economic agenda. Executive powers, existing legislation and presidential vetoes remain important. 2. AI faces a higher hurdle, not an extinction event.
US Dollar breaks below 101.50 as Democrats sweep Congress
The US Dollar (USD) comes under heavy selling pressure on Wednesday, with the US Dollar Index (DXY) falling around 0.5% to trade near 101.35 after sliding below the 101.50 level. The Greenback retreats to its lowest level in four weeks as investors reassess the political and economic outlook following the Democratic Party's sweeping victory in the United States (US) midterm elections.