|

Probability of 4 Fed rate hikes this year has increased to 25 percent - FedWatch

  • Rising inflation boosts odds of faster Fed tightening. 

Fed funds futures put the probability of Fed raising rates four times this year at 25 percent vs. 17 percent seen before the US CPI release, according to FedWatch. 

Also,  investors have priced-in an 83 percent chance the Fed would raise interest rate by a quarter point to 1.50-1.75 percent at its March 20-21 policy meeting.A Reuters report quotes JP Morgan as saying that, "the scorching core CPI has raised the likelihood that Fed policymakers might revise their rate hike guidance at their March meeting to four rate hikes for 2018 from three."

Still, the US dollar has taken a beating across the board. As of writing, the dollar index, which tracks the value of the greenback against majors, is trading 0.77 percent lower at 88.90 levels. 

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

More from Omkar Godbole
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds ground near 1.1800 ahead of US sentiment data

EUR/USD holds recovery ground near 1.1800 in the European session on Friday. The pair attracts minor bids as the US Dollar ticks down amid an improvement in speculation that the Federal Reserve could cut interest rates in the March policy meeting. The focuis is now on the US consumer sentiment data.

GBP/USD challenges 1.3550 on the road to recovery

GBP/USD rebounds after two days of gains, trading near 1.3550 in European trading on Friday. The US Dollar retreats from two-week highs amid profit-taking, lending support to the major ahead of the US UoM Consumer Sentiment and Inflation Expectations data. BoE Chief Economist Pill's speech is also awaited. 

Gold rallies amid flight to safety, Fed rate cut bets

Gold builds on its goodish intraday bounce from the vicinity of mid-$4,600s, or a four-day low touched during the Asian session, and climbs to a fresh daily high in the last hour. A turnaround in the risk sentiment drives flow toward traditional safe-haven assets and acts as a tailwind for the commodity.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple sink to multi-month lows

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple slip to multi-month lows, erasing all gains since crypto-friendly candidate Donald Trump won the US presidential election in November 2024. BTC hits a low of $60,000 on Friday, while ETH nosedives to $1,750 and XRP to $1.11.

The AI mirror just turned on tech and nobody likes the reflection

Tech just got hit with a different kind of selloff. Not the usual rates tantrum, not a recession whisper, not even an earnings miss in the classic sense. This was the market staring into an AI mirror and recoiling at its reflection.

Solana Price Forecast: SOL sell-off intensifies as BTC drops to $60,000

Solana (SOL) price extends its correction, slipping below $70 on Friday after posting losses of over 23% so far this week. The sell-off was fueled by broader weakness in the crypto market, with Bitcoin (BTC) reaching a low of $60,000 on Friday.