NZD/USD Price Forecast: Approaches 0.5900 resistance area as US Dollar weakens
- NZD/USD trades above 0.5800 after bouncing from 0.5820 lows on Thursday.
- The US Dollar struggles as investors slash bets of Fed rate hikes in September.
- A confirmation above the 0.5920 area would expose May and June's peaks, near 0.6000.
The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) appreciates on Wednesday as the US Dollar (USD) loses ground across the board amid dwindling hopes of immediate Federal Reserve interest rate hikes. The NZD/USD pair has bounced up to session highs beyond 0.5880 at the time of writing after bouncing from 0.5820 lows on Thursday, with bulls eyeing two-month highs right above 0.5900.
Brown Brothers Harriman’s Elias Haddad highlights that “cooling US CPI and PPI inflation in July” have “trimmed the implied odds of a Fed rate hike in September to nearly 30%, the lowest since the June 17 FOMC decision.”
Haddad notes that this repricing “is keeping USD in check and lifting risk appetite despite the ongoing US-Iran conflict,” adding that “today’s US data releases are unlikely to shift the dial on Fed fund futures pricing.”
Technical Analysis: Key resistance is at the 0.5920 area
NZD/USD held above the 200-day SMA on Thursday and has bounced up strongly, trading at 0.5883 at the time of writing and honouring the upward trendline support from late-June lows.
Momentum indicators in the daily chart are neutral to bullish, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) near 59 hinting at a constructive bias, while a slightly negative Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) warns about the frail upside pressure.
Bulls are looking at the area between 0.5905 and 0.5920 where August 3 and 7 highs meet the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of June's selloff. Further up, the 0.6000 area, where bulls were capped in May and early June, emerges as the next target.
On the downside, initial support, the area between the upward trendline, now at 0.5850, and the 200-day SMA at 0.5831, remains a significant challenge for bears. Below here, the late July lows, near 0.5760, would come into play.
(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool. Know more.)
US Dollar Price Today
The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies today. US Dollar was the strongest against the Swiss Franc.
| USD | EUR | GBP | JPY | CAD | AUD | NZD | CHF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD | -0.22% | -0.31% | -0.22% | -0.31% | -0.23% | -0.54% | -0.11% | |
| EUR | 0.22% | -0.09% | 0.00% | -0.13% | 0.00% | -0.34% | 0.11% | |
| GBP | 0.31% | 0.09% | 0.11% | -0.03% | 0.09% | -0.22% | 0.21% | |
| JPY | 0.22% | 0.00% | -0.11% | -0.07% | -0.01% | -0.35% | 0.12% | |
| CAD | 0.31% | 0.13% | 0.03% | 0.07% | 0.07% | -0.24% | 0.20% | |
| AUD | 0.23% | -0.00% | -0.09% | 0.00% | -0.07% | -0.32% | 0.13% | |
| NZD | 0.54% | 0.34% | 0.22% | 0.35% | 0.24% | 0.32% | 0.46% | |
| CHF | 0.11% | -0.11% | -0.21% | -0.12% | -0.20% | -0.13% | -0.46% |
The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).
Author
Guillermo Alcala
FXStreet
Graduated in Communication Sciences at the Universidad del Pais Vasco and Universiteit van Amsterdam, Guillermo has been working as financial news editor and copywriter in diverse Forex-related firms, like FXStreet and Kantox.
