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NZD/USD Price Analysis: Hangs near multi-week lows, below mid-0.7100s ahead of NFP

  • NZD/USD witnessed heavy selling for the third straight day and dropped to five-week lows.
  • The set-up has shifted in favour of bearish traders and supports prospects for further losses.
  • Any attempted recovery towards the 0.7160 region might be seen as a selling opportunity.

The NZD/USD pair maintained its heavily offered tone through the mid-European session and was seen trading near five-week lows, around the 0.7130 region ahead of NFP.

Given that this week's bounce faced rejection near the 0.7300 mark, the overnight break below the 0.7230-25 support was seen as a key trigger for bearish traders. A subsequent slide below the 0.7200 mark reaffirmed the bearish breakdown and exerted pressure on the major for the third consecutive session on Friday.

Meanwhile, oscillators on the daily chart have been gaining negative momentum and support prospects for an extension of the recent sharp pullback from the highest level since August 2018. That said, RSI (14) on hourly charts is already flashing oversold conditions and seemed to be the only factor that helped limit losses.

From current levels, the next relevant support is pegged near the 0.7100 mark, which if broken decisively should pave the way for additional weakness. The NZD/USD pair might then accelerate the fall towards the 0.7045-40 intermediate support before eventually dropping to challenge the key 0.7000 psychological mark.

On the flip side, any attempted recovery beyond the 0.7155-60 region might be seen as a selling opportunity. This, in turn, should cap the upside for the NZD/USD pair near the 0.7190-0.7200 region. This is closely followed by the 0.7225 support breakpoint, which should now act as a short-term top for the major.

NZD/USD 4-hourly chart

fxsoriginal

Technical levels to watch

NZD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.7137
Today Daily Change-0.0056
Today Daily Change %-0.78
Today daily open0.7193
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.726
Daily SMA500.7204
Daily SMA1000.7051
Daily SMA2000.6814
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.7273
Previous Daily Low0.7173
Previous Weekly High0.7466
Previous Weekly Low0.7223
Previous Monthly High0.7466
Previous Monthly Low0.7135
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.7211
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.7235
Daily Pivot Point S10.7153
Daily Pivot Point S20.7112
Daily Pivot Point S30.7052
Daily Pivot Point R10.7253
Daily Pivot Point R20.7313
Daily Pivot Point R30.7354

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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