NZD/USD Price Analysis: Fresh rally above 0.6300

NZD/USD consolidates after correcting from 0.6300 ahead of US economic data, namely core PCE price index.
A sticky inflation report may offer temporary cushion to the US Dollar.
NZD/USD continues to trade in a Rising Channel chart pattern.

Sagar Dua FXStreet

The NZD/USD pair turns sideways after correcting from the round-level resistance of 0.6300 in the European session. The Kiwi asset struggles to find a direction as investors are awaiting the release of the United States core Personal Consumption Expenditure price index (PCE) data for further guidance.

The market participants keenly await the underlying inflation data as it will suggest how long interest rates should remain in the restrictive trajectory. A sticky inflation report may offer temporary cushion to the US Dollar but rising hopes of early rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed) will keep it in the negative territory.

On the Kiwi front, Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s (RBNZ) restrictive stance for the Official Cash Rate (OCR) has maintained strength in the New Zealand Dollar. RBNZ Governor Adrian Orr said, in his commentary on Wednesday, decline in Q3 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) has made the overall situation complex. The central bank will consider more indicators before the next interest rate decision.

NZD/USD continues to trade in a Rising Channel chart pattern in which each pullback is considered as a buying opportunity by the market participants. The kiwi asset finds resistance while breaking above the round-level resistance of 0.6300. The 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) around 0.6165 continues to provide support to the kiwi bulls.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) oscillates in the bullish range of 60.00-80.00, which indicates that the bullish momentum has already been triggered.

The NZD/USD pair may witness a fresh rally after a decisive break above Wednesday’s high around 0.6300. An occurrence of the same would allow it to refresh its five-month high near 0.6350. Further upside would expose it towards July 14 high around 0.6400.

On the contrary, a breakdown below December 14 low near 0.6168 would drag the asset towards November 30 low near 0.6121, followed by December 13 low near 0.6084.

NZD/USD daily chart

NZD/USD

Overview
Today last price	0.6249
Today Daily Change	-0.0003
Today Daily Change %	-0.05
Today daily open	0.6252

Trends
Daily SMA20	0.6161
Daily SMA50	0.601
Daily SMA100	0.5983
Daily SMA200	0.609

Levels
Previous Daily High	0.63
Previous Daily Low	0.6242
Previous Weekly High	0.6287
Previous Weekly Low	0.6084
Previous Monthly High	0.6208
Previous Monthly Low	0.5788
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	0.6264
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	0.6278
Daily Pivot Point S1	0.6229
Daily Pivot Point S2	0.6206
Daily Pivot Point S3	0.617
Daily Pivot Point R1	0.6287
Daily Pivot Point R2	0.6323
Daily Pivot Point R3	0.6345

Author

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

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