|

New Zealnd Dollar weakens after China PMI miss as the US Dollar rebounds

  • NZD/USD falls on Friday after weaker-than-expected Chinese business activity data.
  • China's PMI contraction weighs on the New Zealand Dollar despite improving consumer confidence at home.
  • The US Dollar rebounds as markets continue to assess the Federal Reserve's monetary policy outlook.

NZD/USD trades around 0.5860 on Friday, down 0.33% on the day, as investors react to another deterioration in Chinese business activity. China, New Zealand's largest trading partner, reported that the official NBS Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) fell to 49.2 in July from 50.3 previously, missing the 50 market consensus. The Non-Manufacturing PMI also declined to 49 from 50.2, pointing to a broader slowdown in economic activity.

The weak Chinese data overshadowed more encouraging developments in New Zealand. The ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Index rose by eight points to 99.3 in July, its highest level since February. Expectations for the economy over the next one and five years also improved, suggesting a gradual recovery in household sentiment.

Meanwhile, the US Dollar (USD) regains momentum as investors continue to price in the possibility that the Federal Reserve (Fed) may keep monetary policy restrictive for longer. Markets still see another rate hike as a possibility, supported by persistent inflation concerns. According to the CME FedWatch tool, traders currently assign around a 65% chance to a 25-basis-point interest rate increase at the September meeting.

The latest US economic data also reinforced that view. The final University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index was revised higher to 55.2 in July from the preliminary estimate of 54.4, while the Consumer Expectations Index was revised up to 55.4. One-year and five-year Consumer Inflation Expectations remained unchanged at 4.2% and 3.3%, respectively.

New Zealand Dollar Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of New Zealand Dollar (NZD) against listed major currencies today. New Zealand Dollar was the strongest against the Swiss Franc.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD0.39%0.28%-0.10%0.26%0.31%0.28%0.71%
EUR-0.39%-0.11%-0.49%-0.13%-0.09%-0.14%0.32%
GBP-0.28%0.11%-0.39%-0.01%0.02%-0.03%0.44%
JPY0.10%0.49%0.39%0.39%0.43%0.38%0.84%
CAD-0.26%0.13%0.01%-0.39%0.04%0.00%0.46%
AUD-0.31%0.09%-0.02%-0.43%-0.04%-0.05%0.40%
NZD-0.28%0.14%0.03%-0.38%-0.00%0.05%0.47%
CHF-0.71%-0.32%-0.44%-0.84%-0.46%-0.40%-0.47%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the New Zealand Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent NZD (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Ghiles Guezout

Ghiles Guezout is a Market Analyst with a strong background in stock market investments, trading, and cryptocurrencies. He combines fundamental and technical analysis skills to identify market opportunities.

More from Ghiles Guezout
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD recedes from tops, back to 1.3420

GBP/USD reverses course on Friday and falls toward the low 1.3400s. Swelling tensions in the Middle East and rising global oil prices are lending support to the Greenback, which in turn keeps the risk complex and Cable under marked downward pressure.

EUR/USD comes under pressure, drops below 1.1500

EUR/USD retreats to the sub-1.1500 region on Friday, giving back some ground after a three-day rally. The pair’s decline comes amid a risk-averse market mood and renewed demand for the US Dollar ahead of the weekend.

Gold meets support just above $4,000

Gold faces renewed selling pressure, falling sharply toweard the $4,000 mark per troy ounce as the US Dollar regains momentum. Escalating US-Iran tensions are keeping inflation concerns and expectations of further Fed rate hikes alive, weighing further on the yellow metal.

Bitcoin eyes 50-day EMA breakout, Ethereum consolidates, XRP steadies

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple trade near key technical levels on Friday as the broader cryptocurrency market pauses following last week's recovery. BTC is approaching the 50-day Exponential Moving Average while ETH continues to consolidate between two major EMAs.

Warsh needs to restore his reputation
We were glad to see our deeply negative reaction to the Warsh press conference was not some personal peculiarity. Just about everybody in the financial press felt the same way. The consensus is building it’s not the Fed in the dog-house but only Warsh. Today the WSJ changed it tune and blasted Warsh—"the honeymoon is already over..”
9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?
The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.