|

Japanese Yen: Choppy trade inside defined range – UOB

United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note that USD/JPY has been volatile around 157.86, with swings between 157.51 and 158.36 failing to establish a clear trend. For the coming sessions, the pair is expected to trade within 157.50–158.50 intraday, while the 1–3 week view favours consolidation in a narrower 157.00–158.70 band against a backdrop of longer-term downside momentum.

Dollar-Yen volatility but no clear direction

"24-HOUR VIEW: When USD was at 157.90 yesterday, we highlighted that “the bias is on the downside toward 157.40.” However, we pointed out that “it is unclear whether downward momentum can strengthen sufficiently for USD to break clearly below this level.” The subsequent price action did not unfold as expected. USD declined to 157.58, rebounded to 158.36, then fell back to 157.51 before recovering again to close at 157.86 (-0.13%). The outlook for today is unclear after the choppy price action. Today, USD could trade in a range of 157.50/158.50."

"1-3 WEEKS VIEW: In our most recent narrative from Monday (05 Oct, spot at 157.65), we highlighted that rather than continuing to pull back within the previously expected 156.00/158.70 range, USD “is likely to trade in a range between 156.35 and 158.70.” We continue to expect USD to trade in a range, but a narrower 157.00/158.70 range is likely to contain price movements for now."

(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor. Know more.)

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD bulls regain control above 0.6950 amid USD retreat

AUD/USD regains traction and extends the previous day's bounce from the weekly low, aiming for 0.7000 in Asia on Friday. The overnight pullback in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar below an 18-month high, which in turn offers some support to the pair. Meanwhile, hawkish RBA expectations also keep the major underpinned.

USD/JPY holds gains near 158.00 after Japan's weak Household Spending data

USD/JPY clings to gains around 158.00 after data showed on Friday that Japan's Household Spending fell for the ninth straight month, undermining the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, the US Dollar remains depressed as the overnight fall in US bond yields counters a hawkish Fed and geopolitical uncertainties, could cap any downside in the pair.

Gold trims gains; back below $4,200

Gold now gives away part of its initial bullish attempt to weekly highs, returning to the area below the $4,200 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The current pick-up in the US Dollar’s upside momentum in combination with rising US Treasury yields across the curve seem to keep extra gains in the yellow metal under scrutiny.

Ethereum activates Glamsterdam on Sepolia testnet: Why the price is falling anyway
Ethereum (ETH) has reached a key milestone in its next major network upgrade. The planned changes aim to improve Ethereum’s Layer 1 capacity and efficiency as network activity grows. The development comes as ETH retreats toward $2,500, highlighting the contrast between the network’s long-term technical progress and its short-term market weakness.
UoM Consumer Sentiment Index expected to decline in October amid high Oil prices

The Preliminary Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index is forecast to decline for a third consecutive month in October. The US Dollar Index maintains upward pressure near its 2026 peak in the 102.50 region ahead of the release.

The UK 30-year gilt just hit a 1998 high. Is that good or bad for the British Pound?
The yield on the UK's 30-year government bond, or gilt, went through 6% on October 1 for the first time since early 1998, and on Monday the Pound was at its strongest against the Euro since June 2025. The gilt market's 28-year high is mostly someone else's. Since early May, the 30-year gilt yield has risen about 0.15 of a percentage point and the US 30-year about 0.7.