|

Gold rises to four-month highs on US-Iran confrontation in Iraq

  • Gold is drawing haven bids on US-Iran tensions. 
  • Experts think the situation has escalated to a point of no return. 
  • Risk aversion could continue to bode well for the yellow metal. 

Gold, a classic haven asset, has jumped to four-month highs with the US and Iran moving closer to open confrontation in Iraq. 

The yellow metal is currently trading at $1,539 per Oz, the highest level since Sept. 5, representing a 0.63% gain on the day. 

The US launched an airstrike on Baghdad airport on Friday, killing Iran's most celebrated military official Qassem Soleimani. The missile attack confirmed by Iranian and US officials also killed Abu Mahdi al-Muhandis, the deputy commander of Iran-backed militias. 

The US move has come following Iranian militias' attempt to storm the American embassy on Tuesday and has brought the two nations closer to a direct confrontation. 

Geopolitical analysts think the situation has escalated to a point of no return.  "Make no mistake - this is bigger than taking out Osama Bin Laden," Ranj Alaaldin, fellow, Brookings Institution Doha, and director, Carnegie Corporation tweeted a few minutes before press time. 

Negar Mortazavi, diplomatic correspondent for Independent and analyst for BBC, Aljazeera, CGTN, thinks the US move is a major escalation and will have serious geopolitical consequences for the region. 

Gold, therefore, is drawing haven bids. The yellow metal will likely extend gains during the European and American trading hours as markets have turned risk-averse. The futures on the S&P 500 are now reporting a 0.5% drop versus a 0.2% gain seen in early Asia. 

Oil prices have risen sharply and will likely weigh over the risk assets in the oil-dependent emerging markets, adding to the bid tone around the zero-yielding safe-haven metal. 

Technical levels

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1538.39
Today Daily Change10.10
Today Daily Change %0.66
Today daily open1528.29
 
Trends
Daily SMA201488.69
Daily SMA501480.73
Daily SMA1001492.96
Daily SMA2001422.92
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1531.31
Previous Daily Low1517.24
Previous Weekly High1517.4
Previous Weekly Low1477.55
Previous Monthly High1525.1
Previous Monthly Low1454.05
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1525.94
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1522.61
Daily Pivot Point S11519.92
Daily Pivot Point S21511.54
Daily Pivot Point S31505.85
Daily Pivot Point R11533.99
Daily Pivot Point R21539.68
Daily Pivot Point R31548.06

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

More from Omkar Godbole
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD keeps the red near 0.6950 after weak Aussie jobs data

AUD/USD holds losses near 0.6950 on disappointing Australian jobs data, extending the previous day's retracement slide from the monthly high and hitting a fresh weekly low during Thursday’s Asian session. Meanwhile, declining US bond yields drag the US Dollar away from the April 2025 high, touched after Wednesday's hot US CPI, helping limit losses for the currency pair.

USD/JPY slides back below 158.00 as USD reverses post-CPI gains

USD/JPY extends the previous day's pullback from a three-week high, attracting follow-through selling and sliding below 158.00 during Thursday's Asian session. Traders remain on high alert amid speculation that authorities will step in to prop up the Japanese Yen. The US Dollar, meanwhile, reverses Wednesday's hot CPI-led gains to April 2025 highs as US bond yields retreat on China bond-buying talk, further pressuring the pair.

Gold sticks to gains below $4,150 on weak USD; bulls seem hesitant amid Fed hike bets

Gold clings to modest intraday gains through the early European session amid a broadly weaker US Dollar, snapping a three-day losing streak to a one-week low set on Wednesday. The initial aggressive market reaction to hot US consumer inflation figures faded quickly amid expectations that the Fed may not rush to raise interest rates immediately. This led to a further decline in US bond yields, prompting some follow-through USD profit-taking and supporting the non-yielding bullion.

Bitcoin, XRP analyst sentiment jumps as Solana bulls hit 91%: CryptoQuant

Analyst sentiment on Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, BNB and XRP has flipped bullish since July, as the top five cryptocurrencies recovered faster and more strongly than during the 2022-2023 market phase, according to CryptoQuant.

US Sept Retail Sales and PPI in focus along with corporate earnings
Asia market update: Bond traders ignore US CPI and focus on equity weakness and AI-credit concerns ahead of TSMC earnings; Kospi circuit breaker triggered for the first time since Jul; CHF and JPY rise on safe-haven demand; US Sept Retail Sales & PPI in focus along with corporate earnings. - Chinese shipping firms collapse amid capacity concerns.
Has Bitcoin really escaped the macro forces it was built to fight?
Over 17 years ago, Satoshi Nakamoto designed Bitcoin (BTC) on the back of a global financial crisis as an alternative to the global monetary system outside the control of central banks, governments and traditional intermediaries. This raises a key question: has Bitcoin really become independent of the macroeconomic forces it was built to challenge?