|

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD's bullish potential limited amid higher real yields – ANZ

Gold (XAU/USD) is facing pressure from higher real yields, as the US Federal Reserve gets closer to tapering its asset purchases. Furthermore, strong risk appetite is weighing on safe-haven investment, though retail investment remains strong, strategists at ANZ Bank report.

See – Gold Price Forecast: Further gains for XAU/USD may be limited – HSBC

Gold spot premium rising in India and China

“Higher real yields are capping gold’s upside. Downside risks to economic growth are increasing amid the ongoing power shortages, although risk appetite is holding up.”

“An appreciating US dollar is a headwind stirred up by the Fed’s tapering plans and the outlook for rates next year. An outperformance of US economic growth against other regions could lift the greenback.” 

“ETF holdings of gold are declining. Even so, investors have added some long positions in recent weeks. Retail investment is showing encouraging signs, with US eagle gold coin sales rebounding by 32% YTD.”

“Physical demand is recovering in China and India, with spot premium rebounding for both countries.”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD off highs, back to 1.3620

GBP/USD remains slightly on the defensive at the end of the week, receding to the low 1.3600s after hitting fresh tops past 1.3670 earlier in the day. Cable’s correction comes after two daily gains in a row and amid a tepid advance in the Greenback, while poor UK data also accompany the downside.

EUR/USD treads water below 1.1700

EUR/USD now trades with modest losses around 1.1670 following another unsuccessful atempt to advance past 1.1700 the figure in a convincing fashion. The pair’s decline follows a maginal rebound in the US Dollar as market participants continue to assess recent US data as well as developments from the US bond market.

Gold trims gains, recedes to the sub-$4,600 area

Gold rapidly leaves behind Thursday’s inconclusive price action and advances markedly on Friday, briefly surpassing the $4,600 mark per troy ounce to hit three-month peaks. Meanwhile, the precious metal’s solid performance comes despite marginal gains in the buck coupled with another day of rising US Treasury yields across the curve.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP bulls accelerate rally amid rising ETF inflows

The cryptocurrency market remains bullish on Friday, led by Bitcoin’s surge above $77,000. Altcoins, including Ethereum and Ripple, mirror BTC’s positive outlook, trading near $2,400 and $1.35, respectively.

Week ahead – Fed’s Jackson Hole and Nvidia earnings to dictate markets

Kevin Warsh to make his Jackson Hole debut amid confusing messaging. But a major hawkish surprise unlikely after bond market intervention. Nvidia earnings to also determine market direction as stock rally cools.

$20 billion offered, $2 billion taken: Why Treasury doubled its buyback cap

The US Treasury moved off its own calendar on Wednesday, and that is the part worth sitting with. At 12:32 GMT, the department said it would at least double the size of liquidity support buyback operations in the 10-year to 20-year and 20-year to 30-year sectors, lifting the maximum from $2 billion per operation to at least $4 billion, effective September 9 and running to November 4.