Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD unlikely to enjoy big gains for a while yet – TDS

FXStreet Insights Team FXStreet

Economists at TD Securities analyze the Gold outlook after US Core PCE data lifted the yellow metal.

Risk of a drop down to the 200-DMA reduced

At 4.6%, the US May YoYcore PCE is slightly lower than expected and with weaker personal May personal spending, the market drove yields lower. With that, the USD dropped, and Gold bounced convincingly above $1,900. This reduces the risk of a drop down to the 200-DMA, for now.

Inflation is still too high, so the Fed's restrictive narrative will continue, but it bodes well for the long term, as there is evidence building that inflation has peaked and is trending lower. This suggests that while the yellow metal won't plunge, big gains are unlikely for a while yet. After all, the market is still pricing a hike next FOMC.

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

FXStreet

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

EUR/USD stays in tight channel near 1.1800

EUR/USD moves sideways in a narrow band at around 1.1800 in the second half of the day on Friday as investors refrain from taking large positions. February inflation data from Germany and January Producer Price Index figures from the US could drive the pair's action heading into the weekend.

GBP/USD struggles below 1.3500 amid UK political drama, BoE easing bias

GBP/USD struggles to build on the overnight modest bounce from the weekly low and oscillates in a narrow band below 1.3500 on Friday. The Gorton and Denton by-election, held on February 26, has become a focal point of political drama in the UK, along with the BoE easing expectations, acting as a headwind for the GBP.

Gold flat lines below $5,200; traders look to US PPI for fresh impetus

Gold struggles to capitalize on its modest gains registered over the past two days and trades below the $5,200 mark through the first half of the European session on Friday. Geopolitical risks remain in play amid a large US naval and air power buildup in the Middle East.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple consolidate with short-term cautious bullish bias

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple are consolidating near key technical areas on Friday, showing mild signs of stabilization after recent volatility. BTC holds above $67,000 despite mild losses so far this week, while ETH hovers around $2,000 after a rejection near its upper consolidation boundary.

Changing the game: International implications of recent tariff developments

The Supreme Court ruling on International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) tariffs provides limited relief for the rest of the world, with weighted average tariff rates modestly lower.

Starknet unveils strkBTC, shielded Bitcoin transactions on Ethereum Layer 2

Starknet, the Ethereum Layer 2 network developed by StarkWare, today announced strkBTC, a wrapped Bitcoin asset that introduces optional shielding while preserving full DeFi composability.