- Gold (XAU/USD) begins the week on the right foot, up 0.54% in the week.
- A softer buck and concerns of the US falling into a recession courtesy of an aggressive Fed lifts the prospects of the yellow metal.
- Gold Price Forecast (XAU/USD): Bulls need to reclaim the 20-DMA, if not a re-test of the 200-DMA is on the cards
Gold spot (XAU/USD) advances for the fourth-straight trading day and begins the week with an upbeat tone but retreats at the 20-day moving average (DMA) at $1856.45. At $1854.78, XAU/USD reflects the weak appetite for the greenback, albeit higher US Treasury yields, which are pairing last Friday’s losses.
The market sentiment remains upbeat, one of the factors that weighed on the US Dollar, which is trading at four-week lows. The US Dollar Index is plunging almost 1% and clings to the 102.000 mark, a tailwind for Gold prices. The buck’s weakness is courtesy of growing concerns of a US economic slowdown that could trigger a recession, as the Federal Reserve hikes rates aggressively to bring inflation down from above 8%. Investors’ focus would be on Friday’s Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE), the US Fed’s favorite gauge of inflation
In the meantime, US equities are higher as the New York session begins to wind down, though they remain at risk of resuming the ongoing bear market correction. That would carry on towards the Asian session, which could witness the second straight session with a positive appetite. Reports that the US may consider lifting some trade tariffs on China was a piece of news cheered by traders, which turned to equities and lifted the major global indices.
Elsewhere, Atlanta’s Federal Reserve President Raphael Bostic said that the quick response in financial markets to tighten monetary policy offers hope that other parts of the economy may adjust more quickly.
On Monday, XAU/USD began its week of trading, just shy of the R1 daily pivot around $1858, and rallied towards the daily high at $1865.34, $25 short from testing March lows at around $1889.91. Furthermore worth noting that once the daily high was reached, the yellow metal retreated below the 20-day moving average (DMA), and it is settling around the $1850 area.
Gold Price Forecast (XAU/USD): Technical outlook
XAU/USD is neutral biased once traders lifted the non-yielding metal above the 200-DMA at $1838.97, opening the door for further gains. However, although Gold is rallying for the fourth consecutive day, it remains exposed to further selling pressure. At the time of writing, the daily chart shows that XAU/USD bulls failed to reclaim the 20-DMA at $1856.46, a level that, once conquered, could open the door for a re-test of March’s low at around $1889.91.
If that scenario plays out, XAU/USD’s first resistance would be the 100-DMA at $1886.33. Break above would expose March’s low at $1889.91, followed by the $1900. Mark. On the flip side, XAU/USD’s first support would be the 200-DMA at 1838.97. Once cleared, the next support would be $1800, followed by the YTD low at $1780.18.
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD remains stuck near 1.0800 after US employment data
EUR/USD struggles to find direction and moves up and down in a narrow channel at around 1.0800 in the American session on Wednesday. The data from the US showed that employment in the private sector rose less than expected in November and helped the pair limit its losses.
GBP/USD battles 1.2600 after US ADP data
GBP/USD is having a difficult time stabilizing above 1.2600 after closing the first two trading days of the week in negative territory. Despite the weaker-than-expected ADP Employment Change data, the US Dollar stays relatively resilient amid cautious market stance.
Gold rebounds to $2,030 as US yields stretch lower
Gold recovered toward $2,030 after testing $2,020 earlier in the day. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield declined to its lowest level in three months below 4.15% after US employment data and helped XAU/USD gain traction.
Bitcoin-based meme coin ORDI price action wobbles after 1,100% rally
The Bitcoin-based BRC-20 meme coin, which had people confused as being an actual valuable token, is now slowly creeping up to that status. ORDI price rise over the past couple of days has been astonishing, and with BTC driving the price and crossing $44,000, ORDI is also gaining rapidly. But not for long.
The Dollar is struggling to trend
For the last three trading sessions, the dollar index has been crossing up and down the 200-day moving average every day. All in all, the flirting with this level has been going on for more than three weeks, during which neither bulls nor bears were able to form a stable trend.