Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD fluctuates as Fed’s pushes back on rate cuts

Gold price trims earlier gains and retreats after the US Federal Reserve decided to keep rates unchanged while pushing back against speculation of rate cuts. At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades volatile within the $2030 - $2050 area as market participants await Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s decision.

XAU/USD trades volatile following Fed’s decision

In its monetary policy meeting, Fed officials voted unanimously to keep rates unchanged. They noted that it would be appropriate to reduce rates until there is greater confidence that inflation is sustainably moving toward its 2% goal. The Fed added that risks of achieving the Fed dual mandate are moving into better balance and emphasized that the committee will remain “highly attentive” to inflation risks.

Regarding the reduction of the balance sheet, it would remain as previously described while tightening restrictions on all Fed staff with access to confidential FOMC information.

After the data, the US 10-year Treasury note yield spiked to 4% before retreating somewhat towards 3.97%. At the same time, the US Dollar Index (DXY) aimed toward 103.50 before getting back to 103.35.

XAU/USD Reaction to Fed’s Decision

Gold dived toward the $2040 area after the Fed’s decision, though it remains seesawing, as mentioned in the first paragraph, capped at $2050. Although XAU/USD hovers at around $2040, downside risks remain, as the Fed’s statement was perceived as hawkish, though the Fed’s Chair Jerome Powell would cross the wires at around 19:30 GMT.

Key resistance lies at the daily high at $2055.98, followed by $2090, ahead of $2100. On the flip side, support emerges at $2032.14, the day’s low, followed by the January 25 low of $2009.66.